Football · Hungary NB II · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: BVSC Zuglo vs Soroksar

Team pages: BVSC Zuglo · Soroksar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

BVSC Zuglo1.1

Soroksar1.44

1X2

28% 27% 44%

BVSC Zuglo Draw Soroksar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

BVSC Zuglo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLLWLL

Soroksar 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

BVSC Zuglo 1–2–3 Soroksar (6 last)

Soroksar2-1BVSC Zuglo
BVSC Zuglo2-1Soroksar
Soroksar3-3BVSC Zuglo
Soroksar2-0BVSC Zuglo
BVSC Zuglo0-0Soroksar
Soroksar2-1BVSC Zuglo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BVSC Zuglo 1468 · Soroksar 1595

	BVSC Zuglo	Draw	Soroksar
Our model	28%	29%	44%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soroksar (rating 1468 vs 1595).
H2H favours Soroksar: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BVSC Zuglo	Soroksar
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	2.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.7	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.40

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +5’	3.10	3.40	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BVSC Zuglo 1–2–3 Soroksar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	2-1 HT 1-0	BVSC Zuglo
05/10/25 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	2-1 HT 1-0	Soroksar
25/05/25 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	3-3 HT 2-2	BVSC Zuglo
02/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Soroksar	2-0 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo
01/12/24 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	0-0 HT 0-0	Soroksar
11/02/24 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	2-1 HT 0-1	BVSC Zuglo

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	8	6	2	0	23	7	20
2	Kecskemeti TE	8	5	2	1	15	8	17
3	Tiszakecske FC	8	4	4	0	17	10	16
4	FC Ajka	7	4	2	1	9	6	14
5	Gyirmot SE	8	4	1	3	13	14	13
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	8	3	4	1	13	11	13
7	Mezokovesd Zsory	7	4	0	3	11	8	12
8	Karcagi SE	8	2	5	1	13	11	11
9	Szentlorinc SE	7	3	1	3	8	9	10
10	Fehervar FC	8	3	0	5	11	11	9
11	FC Nagykanizsa	8	3	0	5	7	10	9
12	Diosgyori VTK	7	2	1	4	8	15	7
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	7	1	3	3	6	8	6
14	BVSC Zuglo	7	1	1	5	4	9	4
15	Kozarmisleny SE	8	1	1	6	6	16	4
16	Csakvari TK	8	1	1	6	8	19	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BVSC Zuglo	Soroksar
Szentlorinc SE	1-2 L	3-2 W
FC Nagykanizsa	0-1 L	1-0 W
Diosgyori VTK	2-0 W	4-0 W
Karcagi SE	1-4 L	2-2 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	0-1 L	1-0 W
Kecskemeti TE	0-1 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Soroksar (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BVSC Zuglo

WDWDLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	11	7	L
05/09	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
29/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
22/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-4	6	4	L
15/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
08/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
25/07	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
17/05	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	0	3	W
10/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
03/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	9	5	W

Soroksar

LWWDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-3	6	7	D
05/09	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	11	4	W
30/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
23/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	2-2	3-2	2	7	W
15/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	4-0	5	5	W
02/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	4	5	D
26/07	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
17/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
10/05	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BVSC Zuglo vs Soroksar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Soroksar win (44%). Probabilities: BVSC Zuglo 28%, draw 27%, Soroksar 44%.

How many goals are expected in BVSC Zuglo vs Soroksar?

The model expects 2.54 goals (BVSC Zuglo 1.1 · Soroksar 1.44), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in BVSC Zuglo vs Soroksar?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.