Prediction: Malacateco vs Xelaju
Team pages: Malacateco · Xelaju
- Xelaju1-0Malacateco
- Malacateco1-0Xelaju
- Xelaju3-0Malacateco
- Malacateco0-1Xelaju
- Xelaju2-1Malacateco
- Malacateco2-1Xelaju
| Malacateco | Draw | Xelaju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 17% |
| Market | 53% | 29% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Xelaju: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malacateco | Xelaju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malacateco 2–0–4 Xelaju
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
| 19/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Xelaju |
| 29/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Malacateco |
| 20/07/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Xelaju |
| 16/03/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Malacateco |
| 30/01/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Xelaju |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guastatoya | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | CSD Comunicaciones | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Antigua GFC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Malacateco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Suchitepequez | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Marquense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 | Aurora | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malacateco | Xelaju |
|---|---|---|
| Coban Imperial | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| CSD Municipal | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Aurora | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Xelaju (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 29/03 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/03 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
Xelaju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/07 | Alajuelense CONCACAF Central American Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/05 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 01/05 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malacateco vs Xelaju?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malacateco win (53%). Probabilities: Malacateco 53%, draw 30%, Xelaju 18%.
How many goals are expected in Malacateco vs Xelaju?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Malacateco 1.36 · Xelaju 0.67), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Malacateco vs Xelaju?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.