Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 29/08, 23:00
Prediction: Guastatoya vs Marquense
Team pages: Guastatoya · Marquense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Guastatoya2
Marquense1.2
1X2
Guastatoya
Draw
Marquense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Guastatoya
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Marquense
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guastatoya
4–1–1
Marquense
(6 last)
- Guastatoya4-0Marquense
- Marquense2-2Guastatoya
- Guastatoya5-0Marquense
- Marquense0-2Guastatoya
- Guastatoya1-0Marquense
- Marquense2-0Guastatoya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guastatoya (rating 1527 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Guastatoya: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guastatoya | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 0.7 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.8 | 5.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guastatoya 4–1–1 Marquense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Marquense |
| 05/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Guastatoya |
| 24/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Marquense |
| 18/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Guastatoya |
| 30/03/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 26/01/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Guastatoya |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Deportivo San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | CSD Comunicaciones | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Aurora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Marquense | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guastatoya | Marquense |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Mixco | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| CSD Municipal | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Antigua GFC | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Aurora | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guastatoya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Marquense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 03/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 01/05 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/04 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guastatoya vs Marquense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guastatoya win (55%). Probabilities: Guastatoya 55%, draw 24%, Marquense 22%.
How many goals are expected in Guastatoya vs Marquense?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Guastatoya 2 · Marquense 1.2), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guastatoya vs Marquense?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.