Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 31/08, 01:00
Prediction: Aurora vs Malacateco
Team pages: Aurora · Malacateco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Aurora1.2
Malacateco0.99
1X2
Aurora
Draw
Malacateco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Malacateco
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aurora
3–1–2
Malacateco
(6 last)
- Malacateco1-1Aurora
- Aurora1-0Malacateco
- Aurora2-1Malacateco
- Malacateco1-0Aurora
- Malacateco1-0Aurora
- Aurora1-0Malacateco
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aurora: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aurora | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.9 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora 3–1–2 Malacateco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aurora |
| 01/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
| 10/12/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Malacateco |
| 07/12/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aurora |
| 09/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aurora |
| 07/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Deportivo San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | CSD Comunicaciones | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Aurora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Marquense | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aurora | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Xelaju | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Guastatoya | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Antigua GFC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Malacateco (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora vs Malacateco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aurora win (40%). Probabilities: Aurora 40%, draw 32%, Malacateco 29%.
How many goals are expected in Aurora vs Malacateco?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Aurora 1.2 · Malacateco 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aurora vs Malacateco?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.