Prediction: Antigua GFC vs Aurora
Team pages: Antigua GFC · Aurora
- Aurora0-2Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC2-0Aurora
- Antigua GFC4-2Aurora
- Aurora0-1Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC1-2Aurora
- Aurora3-2Antigua GFC
| Antigua GFC | Draw | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antigua GFC (rating 1512 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Antigua GFC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Antigua GFC | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.6 | 4.5 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Antigua GFC 4–0–2 Aurora
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 19/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Aurora |
| 18/12/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Aurora |
| 14/12/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 26/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Aurora |
| 16/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Antigua GFC |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Deportivo San Pedro | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Aurora | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 7 | Marquense | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Xelaju | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | CSD Comunicaciones | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Antigua GFC | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San Pedro | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Guastatoya | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Marquense | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Malacateco | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Antigua GFC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antigua GFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 09/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 20/04 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Aurora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Antigua GFC win (66%). Probabilities: Antigua GFC 66%, draw 21%, Aurora 13%.
How many goals are expected in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Antigua GFC 2.22 · Aurora 0.91), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

