Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 05/09, 03:00

Prediction: Antigua GFC vs Aurora

Team pages: Antigua GFC · Aurora

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Antigua GFC2.22
Aurora0.91
1X2
66% 21% 13%
Antigua GFC Draw Aurora
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Antigua GFC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWLWWWWL
Aurora 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLWLWW
Head-to-head
Antigua GFC 4–2 Aurora (6 last)
  • Aurora0-2Antigua GFC
  • Antigua GFC2-0Aurora
  • Antigua GFC4-2Aurora
  • Aurora0-1Antigua GFC
  • Antigua GFC1-2Aurora
  • Aurora3-2Antigua GFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antigua GFC 1512 · Aurora 1442
Antigua GFCDrawAurora
Our model66%21%13%
Market66%21%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antigua GFC (rating 1512 vs 1442).
  • H2H favours Antigua GFC: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Antigua GFCAurora
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.51 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 51.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.64.5 / 0.9

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antigua GFC 402 Aurora

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Aurora0-2
HT 0-0
Antigua GFC
19/02/26
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Antigua GFC2-0
HT 2-0
Aurora
18/12/25
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Antigua GFC4-2
HT 2-1
Aurora
14/12/25
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Aurora0-1
HT 0-0
Antigua GFC
26/10/25
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Antigua GFC1-2
HT 1-0
Aurora
16/08/25
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Aurora3-2
HT 3-1
Antigua GFC

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Antigua GFC 6501 14615
2 CSD Municipal 6501 9215
3 Deportivo San Pedro 6402 10712
4 Guastatoya 6303 989
5 Aurora 7304 10119
5 Deportivo Mixco 6303 10119
7 Marquense 6303 899
8 Xelaju 5212 977
9 CSD Comunicaciones 6213 687
10 Malacateco 6123 7125
11 Coban Imperial 6114 7124
12 Suchitepequez 6114 6124

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAntigua GFCAurora
Deportivo San Pedro 3-4 L 1-2 L
CSD Comunicaciones 2-0 W 3-1 W
Guastatoya 2-0 W 0-1 L
Marquense 3-1 W 0-1 L
Malacateco 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Antigua GFC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antigua GFC

LWDWLWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-3 3-4 46 L
23/08 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 2-0 27 W
19/08 Coban Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 2-0 19 W
09/08 Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 2-0 107 W
25/07 Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 3-1 34 W
03/05 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 0-2 77 L
30/04 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
2-0 3-2 69 W
26/04 CD Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 2-2 76 D
20/04 Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
2-1 2-1 51 W
16/04 Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-3 L

Aurora

LLLDLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 53 W
22/08 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 3-2 65 W
16/08 Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-2 1-2 67 L
08/08 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
3-0 3-1 66 W
04/08 Xelaju
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 1-3 27 L
25/07 Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 73 L
26/04 Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 1-1 410 D
19/04 Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-4 52 L
15/04 Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 44 L
11/04 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antigua GFC win (66%). Probabilities: Antigua GFC 66%, draw 21%, Aurora 13%.

How many goals are expected in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Antigua GFC 2.22 · Aurora 0.91), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.