Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 06/09, 21:00

Prediction: Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya

Team pages: Coban Imperial · Guastatoya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Coban Imperial1.58

Guastatoya0.86

1X2

53% 27% 20%

Coban Imperial Draw Guastatoya

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Coban Imperial 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Guastatoya 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Coban Imperial 2–2–2 Guastatoya (6 last)

Coban Imperial1-1Guastatoya
Guastatoya2-0Coban Imperial
Coban Imperial2-1Guastatoya
Guastatoya0-1Coban Imperial
Coban Imperial0-0Guastatoya
Guastatoya4-0Coban Imperial

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coban Imperial 1450 · Guastatoya 1484

	Coban Imperial	Draw	Guastatoya
Our model	53%	28%	19%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coban Imperial	Guastatoya
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.6	4.3 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.40

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:15 +7’	1.67	3.40	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Coban Imperial 2–2–2 Guastatoya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	1-1 HT 1-0	Guastatoya
22/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Guastatoya	2-0 HT 0-0	Coban Imperial
04/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	2-1 HT 1-1	Guastatoya
27/07/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Guastatoya	0-1 HT 0-0	Coban Imperial
02/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Coban Imperial	0-0 HT 0-0	Guastatoya
30/01/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional	Guastatoya	4-0 HT 2-0	Coban Imperial

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Antigua GFC	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
2	CSD Municipal	6	5	0	1	9	2	15
3	Deportivo San Pedro	6	4	0	2	10	7	12
4	Guastatoya	6	3	0	3	9	8	9
5	Aurora	7	3	0	4	10	11	9
5	Deportivo Mixco	6	3	0	3	10	11	9
7	Marquense	6	3	0	3	8	9	9
8	Xelaju	5	2	1	2	9	7	7
9	CSD Comunicaciones	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
10	Malacateco	6	1	2	3	7	12	5
11	Coban Imperial	6	1	1	4	7	12	4
12	Suchitepequez	6	1	1	4	6	12	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coban Imperial	Guastatoya
Marquense	1-2 L	1-2 L
Antigua GFC	0-2 L	0-2 L
Deportivo Mixco	3-2 W	2-4 L
CSD Municipal	0-2 L	1-0 W
Malacateco	1-1 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Guastatoya (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coban Imperial

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-2	2-3	5	6	L
24/08	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
19/08	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	3-2	8	9	W
10/08	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
26/07	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
02/05	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-2	3	11	L
29/04	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
26/04	Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
19/04	CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	3-1	6	4	W

Guastatoya

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
23/08	Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-3	2-4	3	4	L
16/08	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/08	Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
02/08	Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-0	4-0	4	7	W
25/07	Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
04/05	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
01/05	CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
26/04	Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
21/04	CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coban Imperial win (53%). Probabilities: Coban Imperial 53%, draw 27%, Guastatoya 20%.

How many goals are expected in Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Coban Imperial 1.58 · Guastatoya 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.