Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 27/09, 04:10
Prediction: Xelaju vs CSD Comunicaciones
Team pages: Xelaju · CSD Comunicaciones
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Xelaju1.85
CSD Comunicaciones1.05
1X2
Xelaju
Draw
CSD Comunicaciones
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Xelaju
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CSD Comunicaciones
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Xelaju
5–1–0
CSD Comunicaciones
(6 last)
- Xelaju2-0CSD Comunicaciones
- CSD Comunicaciones2-2Xelaju
- CSD Comunicaciones1-3Xelaju
- Xelaju2-0CSD Comunicaciones
- CSD Comunicaciones0-1Xelaju
- Xelaju3-0CSD Comunicaciones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xelaju 1548 · CSD Comunicaciones 1431
| Xelaju | Draw | CSD Comunicaciones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xelaju (rating 1548 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Xelaju: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Xelaju | CSD Comunicaciones | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.8 | 5.2 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xelaju 5–1–0 CSD Comunicaciones
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
| 08/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Xelaju |
| 23/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Xelaju |
| 01/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
| 30/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Xelaju |
| 20/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 7 | Marquense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Aurora | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Xelaju | CSD Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Suchitepequez | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Guastatoya | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Coban Imperial | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Marquense | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CSD Municipal | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Malacateco | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Aurora | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Xelaju (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xelaju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 14/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
CSD Comunicaciones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 27/07 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xelaju vs CSD Comunicaciones?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Xelaju win (55%). Probabilities: Xelaju 55%, draw 25%, CSD Comunicaciones 20%.
How many goals are expected in Xelaju vs CSD Comunicaciones?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Xelaju 1.85 · CSD Comunicaciones 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Xelaju vs CSD Comunicaciones?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.