Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 03/10, 23:00
Prediction: Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
Team pages: Coban Imperial · Malacateco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Coban Imperial1.66
Malacateco0.8
1X2
Coban Imperial
Draw
Malacateco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Coban Imperial
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Malacateco
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coban Imperial
2–1–3
Malacateco
(6 last)
- Malacateco1-1Coban Imperial
- Malacateco2-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-0Malacateco
- Coban Imperial0-1Malacateco
- Malacateco3-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-1Malacateco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coban Imperial 1455 · Malacateco 1485
| Coban Imperial | Draw | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 26% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Malacateco: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coban Imperial | Malacateco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.6 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coban Imperial 2–1–3 Malacateco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Coban Imperial |
| 17/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 24/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Malacateco |
| 15/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Malacateco |
| 13/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 03/05/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Malacateco |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Antigua GFC | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Marquense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aurora | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 10 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coban Imperial | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Xelaju | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Guastatoya | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Suchitepequez | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Marquense | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Antigua GFC | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| CSD Municipal | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coban Imperial vs Malacateco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coban Imperial win (57%). Probabilities: Coban Imperial 57%, draw 26%, Malacateco 17%.
How many goals are expected in Coban Imperial vs Malacateco?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Coban Imperial 1.66 · Malacateco 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coban Imperial vs Malacateco?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.