Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 27/09, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua GFC
Team pages: Deportivo Mixco · Antigua GFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Deportivo Mixco1.47
Antigua GFC1.34
1X2
Deportivo Mixco
Draw
Antigua GFC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Mixco
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Antigua GFC
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Mixco
3–1–2
Antigua GFC
(6 last)
- Deportivo Mixco2-1Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC1-2Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco0-1Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC2-1Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco2-1Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC1-1Deportivo Mixco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Mixco 1501 · Antigua GFC 1527
| Deportivo Mixco | Draw | Antigua GFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Mixco: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Mixco | Antigua GFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.4 | 6.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Mixco 3–1–2 Antigua GFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 09/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 01/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 23/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 24/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 17/03/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 6 | Marquense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Aurora | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Mixco | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-2 L | 3-4 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Guastatoya | 4-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Coban Imperial | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Marquense | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Suchitepequez | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 7 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Antigua GFC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Mixco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Antigua GFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 11/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 09/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua GFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Mixco win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Mixco 39%, draw 28%, Antigua GFC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua GFC?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Deportivo Mixco 1.47 · Antigua GFC 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Mixco vs Antigua GFC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.