Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 03/10, 04:00
Prediction: Marquense vs Antigua GFC
Team pages: Marquense · Antigua GFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Marquense1.58
Antigua GFC1.04
1X2
Marquense
Draw
Antigua GFC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Marquense
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Antigua GFC
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marquense
2–1–3
Antigua GFC
(6 last)
- Antigua GFC3-1Marquense
- Antigua GFC1-0Marquense
- Marquense1-1Antigua GFC
- Marquense3-2Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC3-0Marquense
- Antigua GFC1-3Marquense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marquense 1500 · Antigua GFC 1518
| Marquense | Draw | Antigua GFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Antigua GFC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marquense | Antigua GFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 6.4 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 5.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marquense 2–1–3 Antigua GFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 24/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 01/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Antigua GFC |
| 16/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Antigua GFC |
| 20/07/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
| 06/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Marquense |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Antigua GFC | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Marquense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aurora | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 10 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marquense | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Aurora | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Xelaju | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Guastatoya | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Coban Imperial | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Suchitepequez | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo Mixco | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Antigua GFC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marquense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 03/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Antigua GFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 11/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 09/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marquense win (49%). Probabilities: Marquense 49%, draw 27%, Antigua GFC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Marquense 1.58 · Antigua GFC 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.