Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 25/09, 04:00
Prediction: CSD Municipal vs Suchitepequez
Team pages: CSD Municipal · Suchitepequez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
CSD Municipal2.2
Suchitepequez0.8
1X2
CSD Municipal
Draw
Suchitepequez
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Municipal
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Suchitepequez
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSD Municipal
4–2–0
Suchitepequez
(6 last)
- Suchitepequez0-0CSD Municipal
- CSD Municipal2-0Suchitepequez
- CSD Municipal2-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez1-1CSD Municipal
- CSD Municipal1-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez1-2CSD Municipal
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Municipal 1579 · Suchitepequez 1438
| CSD Municipal | Draw | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Municipal (rating 1579 vs 1438).
- H2H favours CSD Municipal: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Municipal | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 6.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Municipal 4–2–0 Suchitepequez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 25/02/18 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 26/11/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 24/09/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 20/05/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 17/05/17 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-2 HT 1-2 | CSD Municipal |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 6 | Marquense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Aurora | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSD Municipal | Suchitepequez |
|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Aurora | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Xelaju | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Guastatoya | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Coban Imperial | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Marquense | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: CSD Municipal (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Municipal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 10/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Municipal vs Suchitepequez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Municipal win (69%). Probabilities: CSD Municipal 69%, draw 19%, Suchitepequez 12%.
How many goals are expected in CSD Municipal vs Suchitepequez?
The model expects 2.99 goals (CSD Municipal 2.2 · Suchitepequez 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CSD Municipal vs Suchitepequez?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.