Prediction: Almeria vs Cadiz
- Cadiz1-2Almeria
- Almeria3-0Cadiz
- Cadiz2-1Almeria
- Almeria1-1Cadiz
- Almeria6-1Cadiz
- Cadiz1-1Almeria
| Almeria | Draw | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almeria (rating 1538 vs 1405).
- H2H favours Almeria: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almeria | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almeria 3–2–1 Cadiz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Spain Segunda | Cadiz | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Almeria |
| 16/11/25 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cadiz |
| 09/05/25 Spain Segunda | Cadiz | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Almeria |
| 22/12/24 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cadiz |
| 25/05/24 Spain La Liga | Almeria | 6-1 HT 0-1 | Cadiz |
| 26/08/23 Spain La Liga | Cadiz | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Almeria |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Granada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Leganes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Tenerife | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Eibar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Sabadell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Girona | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Celta Fortuna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Burgos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Andorra | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Almeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Cadiz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Eldense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 21 | Albacete | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almeria | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CD Castellon | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Valladolid | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sporting Gijon | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Las Palmas | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Almeria (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almeria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 09/06 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Cadiz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Racing Santander Spain Segunda |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 15/05 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 08/05 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almeria vs Cadiz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Almeria win (61%). Probabilities: Almeria 61%, draw 23%, Cadiz 15%.
How many goals are expected in Almeria vs Cadiz?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Almeria 1.89 · Cadiz 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almeria vs Cadiz?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.