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Football · Spain Segunda · 11/09, 20:30

Prediction: Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC

Team pages: Burgos · AD Ceuta FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Burgos1.45
AD Ceuta FC0.67
1X2
55% 29% 16%
Burgos Draw AD Ceuta FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Burgos 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWWWWLDD
AD Ceuta FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWDLWWLLLL
Head-to-head
Burgos 0–1–1 AD Ceuta FC (2 last)
  • Burgos1-1AD Ceuta FC
  • AD Ceuta FC1-0Burgos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burgos (rating 1527 vs 1464).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BurgosAD Ceuta FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.60.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.31.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.15.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgos 0–1–1 AD Ceuta FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/04/26
Spain Segunda
Burgos1-1
HT 1-1
AD Ceuta FC
29/11/25
Spain Segunda
AD Ceuta FC1-0
HT 1-0
Burgos

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Leganes 4220 318
2 Girona 4211 957
3 Granada 3210 517
4 Celta Fortuna 4211 747
5 Mallorca 4211 527
6 Tenerife 4211 537
7 CD Castellon 3210 317
8 Las Palmas 4211 667
9 Sporting Gijon 4211 227
10 Eibar 3201 336
11 Sabadell 3120 105
12 Real Sociedad B 4121 555
13 Burgos 3111 554
14 Oviedo 3111 114
15 Valladolid 4112 244
16 Almeria 3102 323
17 FC Andorra 4103 773
18 Cadiz 3030 333
19 Cordoba 3102 573
20 Eldense 4022 262
21 Albacete 3003 250
22 AD Ceuta FC 4004 1120

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBurgosAD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon 0-1 L 2-1 W
FC Andorra 1-0 W 1-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burgos

DDDWWWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Oviedo
Spain Segunda
 0-0 0-0 67 D
31/08 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
 1-1 2-2 63 D
23/08 Sporting Gijon
Spain Segunda
 0-1 0-1 42 L
16/08 Cordoba
Spain Segunda
 2-2 3-2 14 W
31/05 FC Andorra
Spain Segunda
 1-0 1-0 24 W
24/05 Cultural Leonesa
Spain Segunda
 2-0 2-0 06 W
16/05 Granada
Spain Segunda
 0-0 1-0 56 W
09/05 Almeria
Spain Segunda
 0-0 0-0 105 D
03/05 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
 0-0 0-0 26 D
25/04 Deportivo A Coruna
Spain Segunda
 1-1 1-1 76 D

AD Ceuta FC

DWDLWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Celta Fortuna
Spain Segunda
 0-1 0-2 88 L
30/08 Mallorca
Spain Segunda
 0-1 0-3 35 L
22/08 Las Palmas
Spain Segunda
 0-1 0-2 62 L
15/08 FC Andorra
Spain Segunda
 0-1 1-5 24 L
30/05 Albacete
Spain Segunda
 1-0 1-0 62 W
24/05 FC Andorra
Spain Segunda
 1-0 2-0 010 W
16/05 Malaga
Spain Segunda
 0-3 1-4 56 L
09/05 CD Castellon
Spain Segunda
 0-0 1-1 66 D
03/05 Sporting Gijon
Spain Segunda
 2-1 2-1 27 W
26/04 Racing Santander
Spain Segunda
 0-0 0-0 16 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgos win (55%). Probabilities: Burgos 55%, draw 29%, AD Ceuta FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Burgos 1.45 · AD Ceuta FC 0.67), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.