Football · Spain Segunda · 12/09, 16:15
Prediction: Cadiz vs Las Palmas
Team pages: Cadiz · Las Palmas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Cadiz1.16
Las Palmas1.38
1X2
Cadiz
Draw
Las Palmas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cadiz
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Las Palmas
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cadiz
1–2–3
Las Palmas
(6 last)
- Cadiz1-3Las Palmas
- Cadiz1-2Las Palmas
- Las Palmas1-0Cadiz
- Cadiz2-1Las Palmas
- Cadiz0-0Las Palmas
- Las Palmas1-1Cadiz
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Las Palmas (rating 1412 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Las Palmas: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cadiz | Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cadiz 1–2–3 Las Palmas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Europe Friendlies | Cadiz | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Las Palmas |
| 27/04/26 Spain Segunda | Cadiz | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Las Palmas |
| 05/10/25 Spain Segunda | Las Palmas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cadiz |
| 24/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Cadiz | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Las Palmas |
| 19/05/24 Spain La Liga | Cadiz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Las Palmas |
| 17/12/23 Spain La Liga | Las Palmas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cadiz |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leganes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 | Girona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Granada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Celta Fortuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tenerife | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | CD Castellon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Las Palmas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Sporting Gijon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Eibar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Sabadell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Burgos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Almeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 20 | Eldense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 21 | Albacete | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cadiz | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo A Coruna | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cadiz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Racing Santander Spain Segunda |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 15/05 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 08/05 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Las Palmas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Real Zaragoza Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Las Palmas win (41%). Probabilities: Cadiz 30%, draw 29%, Las Palmas 41%.
How many goals are expected in Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Cadiz 1.16 · Las Palmas 1.38), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.