Football · Spain Segunda · 12/09, 21:00

Prediction: Cordoba vs Almeria

Team pages: Cordoba · Almeria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Cordoba1.36

Almeria1.31

1X2

37% 28% 35%

Cordoba Draw Almeria

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cordoba 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLDLWL

Almeria 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Cordoba 1–1–4 Almeria (6 last)

Cordoba0-4Almeria
Almeria2-1Cordoba
Cordoba1-1Almeria
Cordoba0-3Almeria
Almeria4-0Cordoba
Almeria1-2Cordoba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cordoba 1491 · Almeria 1535

	Cordoba	Draw	Almeria
Our model	37%	28%	35%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almeria (rating 1491 vs 1535).
H2H favours Almeria: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cordoba	Almeria
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.2	1.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +4’	2.45	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cordoba 1–1–4 Almeria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Europe Friendlies	Cordoba	0-4 HT 0-0	Almeria
21/02/26 Spain Segunda	Almeria	2-1 HT 2-0	Cordoba
19/10/25 Spain Segunda	Cordoba	1-1 HT 1-1	Almeria
12/01/25 Spain Segunda	Cordoba	0-3 HT 0-1	Almeria
26/11/24 Spain Segunda	Almeria	4-0 HT 0-0	Cordoba
23/07/22 Europe Friendlies	Almeria	1-2 HT 1-2	Cordoba

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	4	3	1	0	5	1	10
2	Eibar	4	3	0	1	6	3	9
3	Leganes	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
4	Girona	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
5	Celta Fortuna	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
6	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
7	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
8	Granada	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
9	Las Palmas	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
10	Sporting Gijon	4	2	1	1	2	2	7
11	Almeria	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
12	Sabadell	3	1	2	0	1	0	5
13	Burgos	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
13	Real Sociedad B	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
15	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	1	1	5
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
17	FC Andorra	4	1	0	3	7	7	3
18	Cadiz	4	0	3	1	5	6	3
19	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	5	7	3
20	Eldense	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
21	Albacete	4	0	0	4	2	7	0
22	AD Ceuta FC	4	0	0	4	1	12	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cordoba	Almeria
CD Castellon	2-1 W	3-2 W
Sporting Gijon	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cordoba (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cordoba

WWWWLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Granada Spain Segunda	1-0	1-3	6	2	L
21/08	Girona Spain Segunda	2-0	2-1	2	9	W
16/08	Burgos Spain Segunda	2-2	2-3	7	4	L
31/05	Huesca Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
24/05	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	13	5	L
15/05	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	12	4	L
10/05	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
02/05	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
26/04	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	1-1	3-2	9	4	W
18/04	Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda	0-0	2-1	8	2	W

Almeria

LWDWDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	3-1	3-2	3	4	W
29/08	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
23/08	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
17/08	Eldense Spain Segunda	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
20/06	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
14/06	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
09/06	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
06/06	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	0	6	D
31/05	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
24/05	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-2	1-3	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cordoba vs Almeria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cordoba win (37%). Probabilities: Cordoba 37%, draw 28%, Almeria 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cordoba vs Almeria?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Cordoba 1.36 · Almeria 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cordoba vs Almeria?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.