Football · Spain Segunda · 06/09, 18:30

Prediction: CD Castellon vs Albacete

Team pages: CD Castellon · Albacete

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
CD Castellon1.66
Albacete0.74
1X2
59% 25% 16%
CD Castellon Draw Albacete
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Castellon 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWWDLWDW
Albacete 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWLLLL
Head-to-head
CD Castellon 1–3–2 Albacete (6 last)
  • Albacete1-1CD Castellon
  • CD Castellon0-1Albacete
  • Albacete0-1CD Castellon
  • CD Castellon2-2Albacete
  • Albacete0-0CD Castellon
  • Albacete6-2CD Castellon
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Castellon 1522 · Albacete 1480
CD CastellonDrawAlbacete
Our model58%26%15%
Market60%24%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Castellon (rating 1522 vs 1480).
  • H2H favours Albacete: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD CastellonAlbacete
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 11.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.10.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4.4 / 7.22.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 03.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Castellon 132 Albacete

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Spain Segunda
Albacete1-1
HT 1-1
CD Castellon
19/10/25
Spain Segunda
CD Castellon0-1
HT 0-1
Albacete
09/08/25
Europe Friendlies
Albacete0-1
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
04/04/25
Spain Segunda
CD Castellon2-2
HT 1-2
Albacete
08/12/24
Spain Segunda
Albacete0-0
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
06/08/23
Europe Friendlies
Albacete6-2
HT 1-1
CD Castellon

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Granada 3210 517
2 CD Castellon 3210 317
2 Leganes 3210 317
4 Sporting Gijon 3210 207
5 Mallorca 3201 526
6 Tenerife 3201 426
7 Las Palmas 3201 666
8 Eibar 3201 336
9 Sabadell 3120 105
10 Girona 3111 754
11 Celta Fortuna 3111 544
12 Burgos 3111 554
13 Real Sociedad B 3111 444
14 Oviedo 3111 114
15 FC Andorra 3102 763
16 Almeria 3102 323
17 Cadiz 3030 333
18 Cordoba 3102 573
19 Valladolid 3012 141
20 Eldense 3012 261
21 Albacete 3003 250
22 AD Ceuta FC 3003 1100

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD CastellonAlbacete
Real Sociedad B 1-0 W 1-2 L
Eibar 2-1 W 0-3 L
AD Ceuta FC 1-1 D 0-1 L
Cordoba 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Castellon (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Castellon

LDDWWDLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Celta Fortuna
Spain Segunda
1-0 2-1 34 W
23/08 Sabadell
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-0 57 D
14/08 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
1-0 1-0 86 W
09/06 Almeria
Spain Segunda
0-1 2-3 75 L
06/06 Almeria
Spain Segunda
1-0 1-1 86 D
31/05 Eibar
Spain Segunda
1-0 2-1 81 W
24/05 Huesca
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-0 93 W
15/05 Cadiz
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-1 69 D
09/05 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-1 66 D
02/05 Cordoba
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-2 127 L

Albacete

WLWWWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Oviedo
Spain Segunda
0-1 0-1 86 L
22/08 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
0-2 1-2 52 L
16/08 Las Palmas
Spain Segunda
0-1 1-2 63 L
30/05 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
0-1 0-1 42 L
24/05 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
2-0 3-1 61 W
15/05 Cordoba
Spain Segunda
2-0 2-1 74 W
09/05 Cultural Leonesa
Spain Segunda
1-0 2-1 34 W
01/05 FC Andorra
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-0 26 W
24/04 Eibar
Spain Segunda
0-2 0-3 103 L
19/04 Granada
Spain Segunda
2-0 4-1 35 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Castellon vs Albacete?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Castellon win (59%). Probabilities: CD Castellon 59%, draw 25%, Albacete 16%.

How many goals are expected in CD Castellon vs Albacete?

The model expects 2.4 goals (CD Castellon 1.66 · Albacete 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Castellon vs Albacete?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.