Football · Spain Segunda · 06/09, 14:00

Prediction: Eibar vs Granada

Team pages: Eibar · Granada

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Eibar1.36
Granada0.85
1X2
48% 29% 23%
Eibar Draw Granada
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Eibar 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLLWW
Granada 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLDWW
Head-to-head
Eibar 3–3–0 Granada (6 last)
  • Granada0-0Eibar
  • Eibar3-0Granada
  • Granada0-2Eibar
  • Eibar1-1Granada
  • Granada1-1Eibar
  • Eibar4-0Granada
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eibar 1540 · Granada 1524
EibarDrawGranada
Our model48%30%22%
Market49%28%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Eibar: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EibarGranada
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.21.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.91.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.24.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eibar 330 Granada

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/01/26
Spain Segunda
Granada0-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
22/08/25
Spain Segunda
Eibar3-0
HT 1-0
Granada
12/05/25
Spain Segunda
Granada0-2
HT 0-0
Eibar
21/12/24
Spain Segunda
Eibar1-1
HT 1-0
Granada
30/04/23
Spain Segunda
Granada1-1
HT 0-0
Eibar
12/09/22
Spain Segunda
Eibar4-0
HT 1-0
Granada

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Granada 3210 517
2 Leganes 3210 317
3 Sporting Gijon 3210 207
4 Mallorca 3201 526
5 Tenerife 3201 426
6 Las Palmas 3201 666
7 Eibar 3201 336
8 Sabadell 3120 105
9 Girona 3111 754
10 Celta Fortuna 2110 424
11 CD Castellon 2110 104
12 Oviedo 3111 114
13 FC Andorra 3102 763
14 Almeria 3102 323
15 Cadiz 3030 333
15 Burgos 2101 333
17 Real Sociedad B 2101 223
18 Cordoba 3102 573
19 Valladolid 3012 141
20 Eldense 3012 261
21 Albacete 3003 250
22 AD Ceuta FC 3003 1100

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEibarGranada
Cordoba 2-0 W 3-1 W
Mirandes 1-0 W 1-3 L
Albacete 3-0 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eibar (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eibar

WWLWLWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 FC Andorra
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-0 22 W
23/08 Valladolid
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-0 57 W
16/08 Tenerife
Spain Segunda
1-2 1-3 71 L
31/05 CD Castellon
Spain Segunda
0-1 1-2 61 L
24/05 Cordoba
Spain Segunda
2-0 2-0 25 W
16/05 Cultural Leonesa
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-2 44 L
10/05 Mirandes
Spain Segunda
1-0 1-0 47 W
02/05 Malaga
Spain Segunda
2-1 2-4 25 L
24/04 Albacete
Spain Segunda
2-0 3-0 33 W
19/04 Huesca
Spain Segunda
0-0 2-1 46 W

Granada

LLWLLLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Cordoba
Spain Segunda
0-1 3-1 32 W
24/08 Mallorca
Spain Segunda
1-0 2-0 75 W
15/08 Oviedo
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-0 25 D
30/05 Sporting Gijon
Spain Segunda
1-1 1-2 23 L
24/05 Mirandes
Spain Segunda
1-2 1-3 65 L
16/05 Burgos
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-1 36 L
10/05 Cordoba
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-1 25 L
01/05 Real Zaragoza
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-0 79 W
26/04 Almeria
Spain Segunda
1-3 2-4 43 L
19/04 Albacete
Spain Segunda
0-2 1-4 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eibar vs Granada?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eibar win (48%). Probabilities: Eibar 48%, draw 29%, Granada 23%.

How many goals are expected in Eibar vs Granada?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Eibar 1.36 · Granada 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Granada?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.