Football · Chile Cup · 12/07, 18:30

Prediction: CD Antofagasta vs Cobresal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
CD Antofagasta1.28
Cobresal1.22
1X2
37% 29% 34%
CD Antofagasta Draw Cobresal
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Antofagasta 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLDWWW
Cobresal 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLDLLD
Head-to-head
CD Antofagasta 2–4 Cobresal (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Antofagasta 1540 · Cobresal 1423
CD AntofagastaDrawCobresal
Our model37%29%34%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1540 vs 1423).
  • H2H favours Cobresal: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD AntofagastaCobresal
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 10.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.62.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.13.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Antofagasta 204 Cobresal

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Chile Cup
Cobresal0-1
HT 0-1
CD Antofagasta
04/07/22
Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal2-1
HT 1-1
CD Antofagasta
06/02/22
Chile Liga de Primera
CD Antofagasta0-1
HT 0-0
Cobresal
25/09/21
Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal2-0
HT 2-0
CD Antofagasta
24/04/21
Chile Liga de Primera
CD Antofagasta2-1
HT 1-0
Cobresal
15/01/21
Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal3-1
HT 1-0
CD Antofagasta

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Antofagasta 5410 11513
2 La Serena 5212 797
3 Cobreloa 5122 665
4 Cobresal 5023 262

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD AntofagastaCobresal
La Serena 4-2 W 0-1 L
Cobreloa 0-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Antofagasta

WLWDDLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 La Serena
Chile Cup
2-1 4-2 17 W
28/06 Cobresal
Chile Cup
1-0 1-0 55 W
21/06 La Serena
Chile Cup
2-1 4-2 24 W
07/06 Magallanes
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 96 D
02/06 Curico Unido
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-1 68 L
24/05 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-1 77 D
17/05 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 74 D
10/05 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
2-0 3-1 42 W
03/05 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-2 105 L
26/04 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
0-0 2-0 57 W

Cobresal

WLLLLLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Cobreloa
Chile Cup
2-1 2-2 54 D
02/07 La Serena
Chile Cup
0-0 0-1 96 L
28/06 CD Antofagasta
Chile Cup
0-1 0-1 95 L
24/06 La Serena
Chile Cup
0-0 0-0 64 D
20/06 Cobreloa
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 55 L
13/06 Colo Colo
Chile Liga de Primera
0-3 0-3 20 L
07/06 Universidad Catolica
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-1 1-5 75 L
30/05 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-1 95 L
23/05 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 1-2 31 L
17/05 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-0 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Antofagasta vs Cobresal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Antofagasta win (37%). Probabilities: CD Antofagasta 37%, draw 29%, Cobresal 34%.

How many goals are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Cobresal?

The model expects 2.51 goals (CD Antofagasta 1.28 · Cobresal 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Antofagasta vs Cobresal?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.