Football · Chile Cup · 11/07, 21:00

Prediction: Palestino vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Palestino1.79
Club Deportes Santa Cruz0.78
1X2
61% 23% 16%
Palestino Draw Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Palestino 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLWWLDLW
Club Deportes Santa Cruz 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLLDDWWDW
Head-to-head
Palestino 0–1–0 Club Deportes Santa Cruz (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino 1501 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1507
PalestinoDrawClub Deportes Santa Cruz
Our model60%25%15%
Market62%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PalestinoClub Deportes Santa Cruz
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.21 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.43.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.84.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino 010 Club Deportes Santa Cruz

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Chile Cup
Club Deportes Santa Cruz0-0
HT 0-0
Palestino

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group G

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Deportes Santa Cruz 5410 9313
2 Audax Italiano 5302 879
3 Palestino 5212 977
4 Magallanes 5005 5140

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino

WDDLWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Magallanes
Chile Cup
2-1 2-1 118 W
01/07 Audax Italiano
Chile Cup
1-1 2-3 64 L
27/06 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Cup
0-0 0-0 46 D
24/06 Audax Italiano
Chile Cup
0-1 1-2 79 L
20/06 Magallanes
Chile Cup
2-0 4-1 73 W
13/06 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
2-0 2-1 46 W
08/06 O'Higgins
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-2 1-2 23 L
01/06 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-0 55 D
27/05 Deportivo Riestra
Copa Sudamericana
1-1 1-1 35 D
24/05 Union La Calera
Chile Liga de Primera
2-1 2-1 54 W

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

LDLLDDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Audax Italiano
Chile Cup
0-1 2-1 75 W
27/06 Palestino
Chile Cup
0-0 0-0 56 D
20/06 Audax Italiano
Chile Cup
0-0 1-0 44 W
07/06 Rangers de Talca
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 85 W
02/06 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-1 66 D
24/05 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-1 1-1 47 D
19/05 Deportes Temuco
Chile Primera B
2-2 2-3 74 L
09/05 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-1 109 L
02/05 Deportes Iquique
Chile Primera B
2-1 2-2 94 D
27/04 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-2 92 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palestino win (61%). Probabilities: Palestino 61%, draw 23%, Club Deportes Santa Cruz 16%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Palestino 1.79 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 0.78), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.