Football · Chile Cup · 12/07, 23:30

Prediction: Deportes Concepcion vs Puerto Montt

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Deportes Concepcion1.59
Puerto Montt1.12
1X2
47% 27% 26%
Deportes Concepcion Draw Puerto Montt
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Concepcion 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLWDWLWW
Puerto Montt 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLDWWW
Head-to-head
Deportes Concepcion 1–3–1 Puerto Montt (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Concepcion 1516 · Puerto Montt 1514
Deportes ConcepcionDrawPuerto Montt
Our model47%27%26%
Market47%28%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes ConcepcionPuerto Montt
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.41.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.62.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.35 / 0.9

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Concepcion 131 Puerto Montt

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/06/26
Chile Cup
Puerto Montt2-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Concepcion
11/08/24
Chile Segunda
Deportes Concepcion1-0
HT 0-0
Puerto Montt
30/03/24
Chile Segunda
Puerto Montt1-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Concepcion
09/04/16
Chile Primera B
Puerto Montt0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Concepcion
08/11/15
Chile Primera B
Deportes Concepcion0-0
HT 0-0
Puerto Montt

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group H

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Puerto Montt 5311 8410
2 Deportes Concepcion 5311 8610
3 Deportes Temuco 5122 475
4 Huachipato 5104 693

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Concepcion

LWLLWDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/07 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 44 W
03/07 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-1 2-1 23 W
29/06 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 75 L
25/06 Huachipato
Chile Cup
1-0 3-2 17 W
21/06 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-1 1-1 75 D
14/06 Deportes Limache
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 3-2 71 W
06/06 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-2 85 L
30/05 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 1-2 110 L
24/05 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 56 W
18/05 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-2 43 L

Puerto Montt

LWWLLLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-0 2-1 210 W
29/06 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-0 2-0 25 W
21/06 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-0 2-0 67 W
06/06 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 96 D
30/05 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-1 41 L
24/05 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
0-2 0-2 34 L
17/05 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
1-2 1-4 37 L
09/05 Magallanes
Chile Primera B
2-0 2-0 310 W
03/05 Rangers de Talca
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 25 W
26/04 Curico Unido
Chile Primera B
0-1 1-2 54 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Concepcion vs Puerto Montt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Concepcion win (47%). Probabilities: Deportes Concepcion 47%, draw 27%, Puerto Montt 26%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Concepcion vs Puerto Montt?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Deportes Concepcion 1.59 · Puerto Montt 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Concepcion vs Puerto Montt?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.