Football · Chile Cup · 05/08, 01:30

Prediction: Nublense vs Rangers de Talca

Team pages: Nublense · Rangers de Talca

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Nublense1.45
Rangers de Talca1.26
1X2
42% 26% 33%
Nublense Draw Rangers de Talca
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nublense 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWWWDWLW
Rangers de Talca 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLLWLLDD
Head-to-head
Nublense 3–1–2 Rangers de Talca (6 last)
  • Rangers de Talca0-1Nublense
  • Nublense1-2Rangers de Talca
  • Nublense4-0Rangers de Talca
  • Rangers de Talca1-1Nublense
  • Nublense4-2Rangers de Talca
  • Rangers de Talca1-0Nublense
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nublense 1547 · Rangers de Talca 1440
NublenseDrawRangers de Talca
Our model40%28%32%
Market43%23%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nublense (rating 1547 vs 1440).
  • H2H favours Nublense: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NublenseRangers de Talca
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 10.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 51.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.45 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nublense 312 Rangers de Talca

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Chile Cup
Rangers de Talca0-1
HT 0-1
Nublense
19/01/25
America Friendlies
Nublense1-2
HT 1-0
Rangers de Talca
30/06/24
Chile Cup
Nublense4-0
HT 3-0
Rangers de Talca
27/06/24
Chile Cup
Rangers de Talca1-1
HT 1-0
Nublense
24/11/20
Chile Primera B
Nublense4-2
HT 1-1
Rangers de Talca
07/03/20
Chile Primera B
Rangers de Talca1-0
HT 0-0
Nublense

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group F

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Nublense 5311 8510
2 Curico Unido 5221 768
3 Rangers de Talca 5203 466
4 Universidad de Concepcion 5113 794

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nublense

WDLWWWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Palestino
Chile Liga de Primera
2-0 2-0 25 W
13/07 O'Higgins
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-1 24 L
10/07 O'Higgins
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-1 2-1 43 W
05/07 Curico Unido
Chile Cup
0-0 2-2 66 D
01/07 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-0 1-0 63 W
28/06 Rangers de Talca
Chile Cup
1-0 1-0 54 W
26/06 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Cup
1-1 4-2 74 W
21/06 Curico Unido
Chile Cup
0-0 0-1 63 L
14/06 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
1-2 2-2 105 D
07/06 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-0 2-1 28 W

Rangers de Talca

DLLLLWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 43 D
26/07 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 75 D
05/07 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-1 0-2 26 L
28/06 Nublense
Chile Cup
0-1 0-1 64 L
21/06 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-0 2-1 48 W
07/06 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-1 75 L
31/05 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
0-2 0-2 56 L
23/05 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-2 66 L
16/05 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
0-1 1-2 64 L
09/05 Deportes Iquique
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nublense vs Rangers de Talca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nublense win (42%). Probabilities: Nublense 42%, draw 26%, Rangers de Talca 33%.

How many goals are expected in Nublense vs Rangers de Talca?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Nublense 1.45 · Rangers de Talca 1.26), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nublense vs Rangers de Talca?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.