Prediction: Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos De Arica
Team pages: Coquimbo Unido · San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica0-1Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido3-0San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica2-2Coquimbo Unido
- San Marcos De Arica0-0Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido1-0San Marcos De Arica
- Coquimbo Unido4-0San Marcos De Arica
| Coquimbo Unido | Draw | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 22% | 11% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1555 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coquimbo Unido | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coquimbo Unido 4–2–0 San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Chile Cup | San Marcos De Arica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 10/05/25 Chile Cup | Coquimbo Unido | 3-0 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 29/01/25 Chile Cup | San Marcos De Arica | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 29/09/21 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 24/05/21 Chile Primera B | Coquimbo Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 21/10/18 Chile Primera B | Coquimbo Unido | 4-0 HT 2-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo Unido | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportes Iquique | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Deportes Limache | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 4 | San Marcos De Arica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coquimbo Unido | San Marcos De Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Limache | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 06/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos De Arica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coquimbo Unido win (67%). Probabilities: Coquimbo Unido 67%, draw 21%, San Marcos De Arica 12%.
How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Coquimbo Unido 2.01 · San Marcos De Arica 0.71), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.