Football · Chile Cup · 06/08, 00:00

Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera

Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · Union La Calera

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Santiago Wanderers1.08
Union La Calera1.96
1X2
19% 25% 56%
Santiago Wanderers Draw Union La Calera
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Wanderers 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWDLLLLWW
Union La Calera 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLDWWDLWDL
Head-to-head
Santiago Wanderers 1–5 Union La Calera (6 last)
  • Union La Calera4-0Santiago Wanderers
  • Union La Calera0-1Santiago Wanderers
  • Santiago Wanderers1-2Union La Calera
  • Union La Calera3-0Santiago Wanderers
  • Santiago Wanderers0-3Union La Calera
  • Santiago Wanderers0-1Union La Calera
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1519 · Union La Calera 1498
Santiago WanderersDrawUnion La Calera
Our model20%24%57%
Market18%26%56%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Union La Calera: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santiago WanderersUnion La Calera
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.61.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.42.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.54.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 105 Union La Calera

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Chile Cup
Union La Calera4-0
HT 1-0
Santiago Wanderers
08/09/21
Chile Liga de Primera
Union La Calera0-1
HT 0-1
Santiago Wanderers
11/04/21
Chile Liga de Primera
Santiago Wanderers1-2
HT 1-1
Union La Calera
02/01/21
Chile Liga de Primera
Union La Calera3-0
HT 2-0
Santiago Wanderers
15/10/20
Chile Liga de Primera
Santiago Wanderers0-3
HT 0-0
Union La Calera
21/12/17
Chile Play-Offs
Santiago Wanderers0-1
HT 0-0
Union La Calera

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Universidad de Chile 5311 12710
2 Union La Calera 5221 968
3 Union San Felipe 5212 677
4 Santiago Wanderers 5104 7143

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantiago WanderersUnion La Calera
Union San Felipe 2-0 W 1-1 D
Universidad de Chile 2-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Wanderers

WWWDLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
1-0 3-1 26 W
25/07 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
1-0 2-0 53 W
05/07 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
1-2 2-3 107 L
28/06 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
0-1 0-4 43 L
21/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
0-2 1-4 45 L
06/06 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-1 810 L
30/05 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
1-2 2-2 77 D
23/05 Rangers de Talca
Chile Primera B
1-0 2-0 46 W
16/05 Curico Unido
Chile Primera B
2-0 3-0 36 W
10/05 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
1-1 5-1 710 W

Union La Calera

DLDWWDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Cobresal
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-4 52 L
28/07 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-1 96 D
12/07 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-0 77 W
09/07 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-1 0-1 73 L
04/07 Union San Felipe
Chile Cup
0-0 1-1 45 D
02/07 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
0-0 1-0 17 W
28/06 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Cup
1-0 4-0 33 W
25/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
2-1 3-3 57 D
21/06 Union San Felipe
Chile Cup
0-1 0-2 L
14/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
1-2 2-2 56 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union La Calera win (56%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 19%, draw 25%, Union La Calera 56%.

How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.08 · Union La Calera 1.96), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.