Football · Chile Cup · 05/08, 01:30

Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido

Team pages: Universidad de Concepcion · Curico Unido

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Universidad de Concepcion1.31
Curico Unido1.55
1X2
31% 26% 42%
Universidad de Concepcion Draw Curico Unido
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Concepcion 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DDLLLLDLWL
Curico Unido 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DLDWWWDDLD
Head-to-head
Universidad de Concepcion 4–2–0 Curico Unido (6 last)
  • Curico Unido2-2Universidad de Concepcion
  • Universidad de Concepcion2-0Curico Unido
  • Curico Unido1-2Universidad de Concepcion
  • Universidad de Concepcion1-1Curico Unido
  • Curico Unido0-1Universidad de Concepcion
  • Curico Unido2-3Universidad de Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion 1470 · Curico Unido 1497
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawCurico Unido
Our model31%27%42%
Market32%26%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Universidad de Concepcion: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Universidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.91.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.82.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.45.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion 420 Curico Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Chile Cup
Curico Unido2-2
HT 2-2
Universidad de Concepcion
12/10/25
Chile Primera B
Universidad de Concepcion2-0
HT 0-0
Curico Unido
31/05/25
Chile Primera B
Curico Unido1-2
HT 1-1
Universidad de Concepcion
22/03/25
Chile Cup
Universidad de Concepcion1-1
HT 0-1
Curico Unido
08/02/25
Chile Cup
Curico Unido0-1
HT 0-0
Universidad de Concepcion
03/09/24
Chile Primera B
Curico Unido2-3
HT 2-1
Universidad de Concepcion

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group F

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Nublense 5311 8510
2 Curico Unido 5221 768
3 Rangers de Talca 5203 466
4 Universidad de Concepcion 5113 794

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad de Concepcion

DDLLLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-1 96 L
05/07 Rangers de Talca
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 96 W
01/07 Nublense
Chile Cup
0-0 0-1 63 L
28/06 Curico Unido
Chile Cup
2-2 2-2 35 D
26/06 Nublense
Chile Cup
1-1 2-4 34 L
21/06 Rangers de Talca
Chile Cup
0-0 1-2 38 L
14/06 Universidad Catolica
Chile Liga de Primera
1-2 1-5 34 L
07/06 Nublense
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-2 38 L
30/05 Union La Calera
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-0 45 D
23/05 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
0-2 2-2 54 D

Curico Unido

DLDWWWDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 38 D
25/07 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
0-1 1-2 84 L
05/07 Nublense
Chile Cup
0-0 2-2 16 D
28/06 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Cup
2-2 2-2 45 D
21/06 Nublense
Chile Cup
0-0 1-0 43 W
09/06 Deportes Temuco
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-0 46 W
02/06 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 38 W
23/05 Deportes Iquique
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 22 D
16/05 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
0-2 0-3 66 L
12/05 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
1-0 2-2 97 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Curico Unido win (42%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion 31%, draw 26%, Curico Unido 42%.

How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Universidad de Concepcion 1.31 · Curico Unido 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion vs Curico Unido?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.