Football · Chile Cup · 06/08, 00:00

Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile

Team pages: Union San Felipe · Universidad de Chile

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Union San Felipe1.12
Universidad de Chile2.15
1X2
18% 22% 60%
Union San Felipe Draw Universidad de Chile
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union San Felipe 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWDWLDLL
Universidad de Chile 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWLWWW
Head-to-head
Union San Felipe 0–1 Universidad de Chile (1 last)
  • Universidad de Chile2-0Union San Felipe
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union San Felipe 1477 · Universidad de Chile 1562
Union San FelipeDrawUniversidad de Chile
Our model18%22%60%
Market18%22%60%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (rating 1477 vs 1562).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 22.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.91.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 2.92.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.24.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 001 Universidad de Chile

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Chile Cup
Universidad de Chile2-0
HT 1-0
Union San Felipe

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Universidad de Chile 5311 12710
2 Union La Calera 5221 968
3 Union San Felipe 5212 677
4 Santiago Wanderers 5104 7143

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
Santiago Wanderers 0-2 L 3-2 W
Union La Calera 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union San Felipe

LWLWDWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-2 1-5 40 L
25/07 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-2 13 L
04/07 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
0-0 1-1 25 D
28/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
0-1 0-2 14 L
21/06 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 W
09/06 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-2 54 D
30/05 Puerto Montt
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 71 W
24/05 Deportes Temuco
Chile Primera B
0-2 0-5 21 L
16/05 Rangers de Talca
Chile Primera B
1-0 2-1 24 W
10/05 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
1-2 1-2 23 L

Universidad de Chile

DDWWDWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 2-0 133 W
26/07 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-1 54 W
05/07 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Cup
2-1 3-2 37 W
02/07 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
0-0 0-1 97 L
28/06 Union San Felipe
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 84 W
25/06 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
1-2 3-3 97 D
21/06 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Cup
2-0 4-1 25 W
19/06 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 56 W
14/06 Union La Calera
Chile Liga de Primera
2-1 2-2 26 D
07/06 Audax Italiano
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-2 2-2 74 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile win (60%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 18%, draw 22%, Universidad de Chile 60%.

How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Union San Felipe 1.12 · Universidad de Chile 2.15), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.