Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile
Team pages: Union San Felipe · Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile2-0Union San Felipe
| Union San Felipe | Draw | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (rating 1477 vs 1562).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union San Felipe | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 2.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 0–0–1 Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Chile Cup | Universidad de Chile | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad de Chile | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 8 |
| 3 | Union San Felipe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Santiago Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union San Felipe | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Union La Calera | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile win (60%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 18%, draw 22%, Universidad de Chile 60%.
How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Union San Felipe 1.12 · Universidad de Chile 2.15), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

