Football · Chile Cup · 11/07, 21:00

Prediction: Magallanes vs Audax Italiano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Magallanes1.24
Audax Italiano1.99
1X2
22% 24% 54%
Magallanes Draw Audax Italiano
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWDLLL
Audax Italiano 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDDDLWWWL
Head-to-head
Magallanes 2–4 Audax Italiano (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magallanes 1460 · Audax Italiano 1499
MagallanesDrawAudax Italiano
Our model23%24%54%
Market22%24%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Audax Italiano: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MagallanesAudax Italiano
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 21.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 52.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.84.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 204 Audax Italiano

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Chile Cup
Audax Italiano2-1
HT 2-0
Magallanes
02/12/23
Chile Liga de Primera
Audax Italiano0-2
HT 0-2
Magallanes
13/05/23
Chile Liga de Primera
Magallanes1-2
HT 0-2
Audax Italiano
05/07/21
Chile Cup
Audax Italiano3-0
HT 2-0
Magallanes
30/06/21
Chile Cup
Magallanes4-0
HT 1-0
Audax Italiano
02/08/15
Chile Cup
Magallanes0-3
HT 0-2
Audax Italiano

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group G

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Deportes Santa Cruz 5410 9313
2 Audax Italiano 5302 879
3 Palestino 5212 977
4 Magallanes 5005 5140

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magallanes

WLLWLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Palestino
Chile Cup
1-2 1-2 38 L
27/06 Audax Italiano
Chile Cup
0-2 1-2 87 L
20/06 Palestino
Chile Cup
0-2 1-4 33 L
07/06 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 36 D
31/05 Deportes Iquique
Chile Primera B
2-0 4-3 64 W
25/05 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
1-1 1-2 65 L
16/05 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
2-0 3-2 48 W
09/05 Puerto Montt
Chile Primera B
0-2 0-2 510 L
03/05 Deportes Copiapo
Chile Primera B
0-1 2-3 96 L
25/04 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-0 37 W

Audax Italiano

WLDDDLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Cup
1-0 1-2 15 L
01/07 Palestino
Chile Cup
1-1 3-2 64 W
27/06 Magallanes
Chile Cup
2-0 2-1 37 W
24/06 Palestino
Chile Cup
1-0 2-1 69 W
20/06 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Cup
0-0 0-1 94 L
13/06 La Serena
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-1 84 D
07/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Copa de la Liga
2-1 2-2 34 D
01/06 Palestino
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-0 85 D
28/05 Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana
0-0 1-3 15 L
23/05 Cobresal
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 2-1 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Audax Italiano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Audax Italiano win (54%). Probabilities: Magallanes 22%, draw 24%, Audax Italiano 54%.

How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Audax Italiano?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Magallanes 1.24 · Audax Italiano 1.99), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Audax Italiano?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.