Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 06/09, 18:30
Prediction: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)
Team pages: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) · Valur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1.83
Valur Reykjavik (W)1.4
1X2
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Draw
Valur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Valur Reykjavik (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
1–1
Valur Reykjavik (W)
(2 last)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)2-3Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)2-1Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1515 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1470
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | Draw | Valur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grindavik/Njardvik (W) (rating 1515 vs 1470).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | Valur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1–0–1 Valur Reykjavik (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Iceland Cup Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) |
| 25/04/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 54 | 31 | 34 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 31 | 27 |
| 4 | Stjarnan (W) | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 22 |
| 7 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 19 |
| 8 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 17 |
| 10 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 4-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Breidablik (W) | 0-1 L | 1-7 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Stjarnan (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 1-6 L | 2-2 D |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Valur Reykjavik (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grindavik/Njardvik (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 47%, draw 24%, Valur Reykjavik (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.83 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Grindavik/Njardvik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.