Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 30/08, 15:00
Prediction: Valur Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Team pages: Valur Reykjavik (W) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Valur Reykjavik (W)1.39
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2.5
1X2
Valur Reykjavik (W)
Draw
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Valur Reykjavik (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valur Reykjavik (W)
2–4–0
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
(6 last)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)1-1Valur Reykjavik (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)1-1Valur Reykjavik (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)2-2FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)1-2Valur Reykjavik (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)0-0FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)2-0FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1465 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1562
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 21% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (rating 1465 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Valur Reykjavik (W): 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2.8 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur Reykjavik (W) 2–4–0 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 25/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 29/07/25 Iceland Cup Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2-2 HT 1-2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 21/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 16/04/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 22/09/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 29 | 33 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 30 | 24 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 22 |
| 6 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 7 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 18 |
| 8 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 17 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 16 |
| 10 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 39 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valur Reykjavik (W) | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 L | 7-3 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1-4 L | 6-4 W |
| Breidablik (W) | 1-7 L | 0-3 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Stjarnan (W) | 1-1 D | 7-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-4 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 7-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 09/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-2 | 7-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Valur Reykjavik (W) 19%, draw 20%, FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 61%.
How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?
The model expects 3.89 goals (Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.39 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.5), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.