Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 07/09, 21:15
Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)
Team pages: Throttur Reykjavik (W) · Breidablik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Throttur Reykjavik (W)1.25
Breidablik (W)2.22
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Breidablik (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Breidablik (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
2–1–3
Breidablik (W)
(6 last)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)3-2Breidablik (W)
- Breidablik (W)2-0Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)3-2Breidablik (W)
- Breidablik (W)3-1Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)2-2Breidablik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)1-4Breidablik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1492 · Breidablik (W) 1552
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Breidablik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| Market | 20% | 21% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1492 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Breidablik (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 15.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Breidablik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 2.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 6.6 | 4.4 / 8.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2–1–3 Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Iceland Cup Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Breidablik (W) |
| 24/04/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 30/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Breidablik (W) |
| 24/07/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 22/04/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Breidablik (W) |
| 13/09/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Breidablik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 54 | 31 | 34 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 34 | 27 |
| 4 | Stjarnan (W) | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 6 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 22 |
| 7 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 22 |
| 8 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 19 |
| 9 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 17 |
| 10 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Breidablik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 3-2 W | 7-1 W |
| Stjarnan (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-7 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 18 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 09/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Breidablik (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik (W) 20%, draw 22%, Breidablik (W) 59%.
How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1.25 · Breidablik (W) 2.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.