Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: Breidablik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

Team pages: Breidablik (W) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.09Total

Breidablik (W)3.05

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.05

1X2

79% 13% 8%

Breidablik (W) Draw IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Breidablik (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Breidablik (W) 5–1–0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) (6 last)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)0-3Breidablik (W)
Breidablik (W)7-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Breidablik (W)3-2IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Breidablik (W)0-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)0-3Breidablik (W)
Breidablik (W)2-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breidablik (W) 1584 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1458

	Breidablik (W)	Draw	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	80%	12%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 4.09 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1584 vs 1458).
H2H favours Breidablik (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breidablik (W)	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.2	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 7.8	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.50

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.90

2 (+2.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.14▼	Pinn 1.14
X	5.50 → 7.50▲	Pinn 8.22 ★
2	8.00 → 12.00▲	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +8’	1.22	5.50	8.00
19:25 +7’	1.14▼	7.50▲	12.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +1’	1.15	7.92	10.05
19:26 +6’	1.15	7.90▼	10.03▼
23:16 +1’	1.14▼	8.22▲	10.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik (W) 5–1–0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Iceland Premier League Women	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	Breidablik (W)
10/03/26 Iceland Cup Women	Breidablik (W)	7-0 HT 5-0	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
31/07/25 Iceland Cup Women	Breidablik (W)	3-2 HT 0-1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
20/08/23 Iceland Premier League Women	Breidablik (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
12/06/23 Iceland Premier League Women	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Breidablik (W)
14/03/23 Iceland Cup Women	Breidablik (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Breidablik (W)	16	12	0	4	44	18	36
2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	16	10	3	3	52	29	33
3	Stjarnan (W)	16	7	5	4	28	22	26
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	16	7	3	6	27	30	24
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	16	6	4	6	24	26	22
6	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	16	6	3	7	23	26	21
7	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	16	5	3	8	23	26	18
8	Valur Reykjavik (W)	16	4	4	8	16	28	16
9	Fram Reykjavik (W)	16	5	1	10	22	39	16
10	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	16	4	2	10	22	37	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breidablik (W)	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Stjarnan (W)	0-2 L	3-2 W
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	3-0 W	2-2 D
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	1-0 W	2-4 L
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
Valur Reykjavik (W)	7-1 W	2-1 W
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	4-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breidablik (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	18	1	L
15/08	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
12/08	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
29/07	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
21/07	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	6-0	7-1	7	2	W
15/07	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	4-1	10	0	W
09/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	2-3	10	1	L
22/06	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	7	1	W
13/06	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
30/05	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	0	1	W

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
13/08	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	3-2	10	2	W
07/08	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-4	2-4	4	4	L
29/07	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	2-2	3	4	D
19/07	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
15/07	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	6	0	W
09/07	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	3-1	7	0	W
22/06	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	6	1	L
13/06	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
30/05	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breidablik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Breidablik (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Breidablik (W) 79%, draw 13%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in Breidablik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)?

The model expects 4.09 goals (Breidablik (W) 3.05 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Breidablik (W) vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.