Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 09/10, 19:00
Prediction: Spartak Myjava vs OK Castkovce
Team pages: Spartak Myjava · OK Castkovce
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Spartak Myjava1.98
OK Castkovce0.99
1X2
Spartak Myjava
Draw
OK Castkovce
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Myjava
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
OK Castkovce
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Myjava
4–1–0
OK Castkovce
(5 last)
- OK Castkovce0-0Spartak Myjava
- Spartak Myjava2-0OK Castkovce
- Spartak Myjava3-0OK Castkovce
- OK Castkovce1-3Spartak Myjava
- OK Castkovce1-5Spartak Myjava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spartak Myjava 1555 · OK Castkovce 1444
| Spartak Myjava | Draw | OK Castkovce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 61% | 20% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Myjava (rating 1555 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Spartak Myjava: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Myjava | OK Castkovce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Myjava 4–1–0 OK Castkovce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga | OK Castkovce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Myjava |
| 17/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga | Spartak Myjava | 2-0 HT 1-0 | OK Castkovce |
| 28/02/25 Slovakia 3. Liga | Spartak Myjava | 3-0 HT 2-0 | OK Castkovce |
| 03/08/24 Slovakia 3. Liga | OK Castkovce | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Spartak Myjava |
| 22/07/23 Europe Friendlies | OK Castkovce | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Spartak Myjava |
Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nitra | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Puchov | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | TJ Kovo Belusa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Spartak Myjava | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 15 |
| 5 | OFK Dunajska Luzna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | SK 1923 Gabcikovo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | AS Trencin B | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Banik Prievidza | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | FK Nove Zamky | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | Dunajska Streda B | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 11 |
| 11 | Raca Bratislava | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | MSK Senec | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | OK Castkovce | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 8 |
| 14 | KFC Komarno B | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovan Duslo Šala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
| 16 | Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Myjava | OK Castkovce |
|---|---|---|
| MSK Senec | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| FC Nitra | 1-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Puchov | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| OFK Dunajska Luzna | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Dunajska Streda B | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Myjava (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Myjava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/09 | SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
OK Castkovce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Myjava vs OK Castkovce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Myjava win (60%). Probabilities: Spartak Myjava 60%, draw 22%, OK Castkovce 18%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Myjava vs OK Castkovce?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Spartak Myjava 1.98 · OK Castkovce 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Myjava vs OK Castkovce?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.