Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 11/10, 10:30

Prediction: AS Trencin B vs TJ Kovo Belusa

Team pages: AS Trencin B · TJ Kovo Belusa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

AS Trencin B1.83

TJ Kovo Belusa1.55

1X2

44% 24% 32%

AS Trencin B Draw TJ Kovo Belusa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AS Trencin B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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TJ Kovo Belusa 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLDDD

Head-to-head

AS Trencin B 1–1 TJ Kovo Belusa (2 last)

TJ Kovo Belusa1-0AS Trencin B
AS Trencin B4-1TJ Kovo Belusa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Trencin B 1500 · TJ Kovo Belusa 1547

	AS Trencin B	Draw	TJ Kovo Belusa
Our model	44%	24%	32%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Kovo Belusa (rating 1500 vs 1547).
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AS Trencin B	TJ Kovo Belusa
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	3.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +8’	2.05	3.70	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Trencin B 1–0–1 TJ Kovo Belusa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	TJ Kovo Belusa	1-0 HT 1-0	AS Trencin B
09/11/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	AS Trencin B	4-1 HT 1-1	TJ Kovo Belusa

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	9	8	1	0	30	7	25
2	Puchov	9	5	3	1	18	5	18
3	Spartak Myjava	10	5	3	2	18	11	18
4	TJ Kovo Belusa	9	4	4	1	19	11	16
5	OFK Dunajska Luzna	9	4	3	2	11	9	15
6	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	9	4	2	3	15	13	14
7	AS Trencin B	9	4	1	4	20	18	13
8	FC Banik Prievidza	9	4	0	5	15	15	12
9	FK Nove Zamky	9	3	3	3	11	16	12
10	Dunajska Streda B	9	3	2	4	19	15	11
11	Raca Bratislava	9	2	4	3	13	15	10
12	MSK Senec	9	3	0	6	8	17	9
13	OK Castkovce	10	2	2	6	17	25	8
14	KFC Komarno B	9	2	2	5	10	23	8
15	Slovan Duslo Šala	9	1	3	5	8	17	6
16	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	9	1	3	5	12	27	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AS Trencin B	TJ Kovo Belusa
FK Nove Zamky	5-2 W	0-0 D
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	5-1 W	2-2 D
Spartak Myjava	0-2 L	0-0 D
Puchov	0-3 L	0-2 L
OFK Dunajska Luzna	0-1 L	2-2 D
KFC Komarno B	1-1 D	5-0 W
Raca Bratislava	3-2 W	4-2 W
Slovan Duslo Šala	4-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Kovo Belusa (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Trencin B

LWWDLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-4	1	5	L
26/09	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	5-2	2	5	W
20/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	5-1	5-1	4	0	W
11/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	7	L
06/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	8	4	L
29/08	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
22/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
16/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
09/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	4-1	4-2	–	–	W
06/06	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

TJ Kovo Belusa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
27/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
20/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
12/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
06/09	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	6	D
30/08	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	9	3	W
23/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	4	W
15/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
09/08	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	13	8	W
06/06	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Trencin B vs TJ Kovo Belusa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Trencin B win (44%). Probabilities: AS Trencin B 44%, draw 24%, TJ Kovo Belusa 32%.

How many goals are expected in AS Trencin B vs TJ Kovo Belusa?

The model expects 3.38 goals (AS Trencin B 1.83 · TJ Kovo Belusa 1.55), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Trencin B vs TJ Kovo Belusa?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.