Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 01/08, 12:00

Prediction: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Karpaty Lviv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1.23

Karpaty Lviv1.49

1X2

31% 26% 43%

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Draw Karpaty Lviv

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWLDL

Karpaty Lviv 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLLWDW

Head-to-head

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 2–2 Karpaty Lviv (4 last)

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1-0Karpaty Lviv
Karpaty Lviv1-0FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2-0Karpaty Lviv
Karpaty Lviv3-0FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1482 · Karpaty Lviv 1530

	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	Draw	Karpaty Lviv
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karpaty Lviv (rating 1482 vs 1530).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	Karpaty Lviv
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.2	1.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.7	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
X	3.40 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	1.95 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:40 +15’	3.10	3.40	1.95
16:03 +2’	2.80▼	3.60▲	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 2–0–2 Karpaty Lviv

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	1-0 HT 1-0	Karpaty Lviv
08/11/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Karpaty Lviv	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
14/12/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	2-0 HT 1-0	Karpaty Lviv
11/08/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Karpaty Lviv	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chernomorets Odessa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dynamo Kiev	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Karpaty Lviv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Kharkiv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Livyi Bereh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Obolon Kyiv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Zorya Lugansk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Kudrivka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kolos Kovalivka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LNZ Lebedyn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Veres Rivne	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	Karpaty Lviv
FC Veres Rivne	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC Rukh Lviv	3-0 W	3-0 W
LNZ Lebedyn	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Karpaty Lviv (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

LWWLDWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/07	Lommel Club Friendly List	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
23/05	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
17/05	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	2-3	1	0	L
12/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-1	0	2	W
08/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
01/05	SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-3	3-3	8	4	D
26/04	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	4-1	5-6	1	3	L
19/04	FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-0	3-0	7	8	W
12/04	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
05/04	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-3	14	1	L

Karpaty Lviv

WDLDWLLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Zeljeznicar Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-0	3	3	W
17/07	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
11/07	NK Bravo Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
09/07	CFR Cluj Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/05	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-2	8	9	L
17/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	2-0	10	5	W
12/05	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	2-2	5	7	D
08/05	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
02/05	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
25/04	FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-0	3-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Karpaty Lviv?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Karpaty Lviv win (43%). Probabilities: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 31%, draw 26%, Karpaty Lviv 43%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Karpaty Lviv?

The model expects 2.72 goals (FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1.23 · Karpaty Lviv 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Karpaty Lviv?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.