Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 10/08, 14:30
Prediction: Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Kharkiv
Team pages: Polissya Zhytomyr · FC Kharkiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Polissya Zhytomyr1.62
FC Kharkiv1.18
1X2
Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw
FC Kharkiv
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Polissya Zhytomyr
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FC Kharkiv
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polissya Zhytomyr
2–4–0
FC Kharkiv
(6 last)
- FC Kharkiv0-1Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr0-0FC Kharkiv
- FC Kharkiv3-3Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr2-1FC Kharkiv
- Polissya Zhytomyr0-0FC Kharkiv
- FC Kharkiv0-0Polissya Zhytomyr
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polissya Zhytomyr 1527 · FC Kharkiv 1469
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | FC Kharkiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polissya Zhytomyr (rating 1527 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Polissya Zhytomyr: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polissya Zhytomyr | FC Kharkiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polissya Zhytomyr 2–4–0 FC Kharkiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kharkiv | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 03/11/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Kharkiv |
| 19/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kharkiv | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 11/11/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Kharkiv |
| 05/04/21 Ukraine Persha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Kharkiv |
| 05/10/20 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Kharkiv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | FC Livyi Bereh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Kudrivka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 10 | LNZ Lebedyn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Obolon Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | FC Veres Rivne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polissya Zhytomyr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | FC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | FC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/07 | Viktoria Plzen Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Shimizu S-Pulse World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 09/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Worgl SV Europe Friendlies |
5-0 | 11-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Sabah Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/06 | CS U Craiova Europe Friendlies |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
FC Kharkiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Schalke Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | Fagiano Okayama Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/07 | Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/07 | FC Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 05/07 | Young Boys Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Qarabag Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 6-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Kharkiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Polissya Zhytomyr win (46%). Probabilities: Polissya Zhytomyr 46%, draw 27%, FC Kharkiv 27%.
How many goals are expected in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Kharkiv?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Polissya Zhytomyr 1.62 · FC Kharkiv 1.18), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Kharkiv?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.