Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Obolon Kyiv
Team pages: Bukovyna Chernivtsi · Obolon Kyiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Bukovyna Chernivtsi1.65
Obolon Kyiv1.08
1X2
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Draw
Obolon Kyiv
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Obolon Kyiv
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
0–1–1
Obolon Kyiv
(2 last)
- Obolon Kyiv1-0Bukovyna Chernivtsi
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi0-0Obolon Kyiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1570 · Obolon Kyiv 1467
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi | Draw | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bukovyna Chernivtsi (rating 1570 vs 1467).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.8 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0–1–1 Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/17 Ukraine Persha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi |
| 26/09/16 Ukraine Persha Liga | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | LNZ Lebedyn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Livyi Bereh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Veres Rivne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Kudrivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | FC Veres Rivne Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/06 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | FC Livyi Bereh Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/07 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Obolon Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bukovyna Chernivtsi win (49%). Probabilities: Bukovyna Chernivtsi 49%, draw 27%, Obolon Kyiv 23%.
How many goals are expected in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.65 · Obolon Kyiv 1.08), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.