Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 09/08, 14:30

Prediction: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Team pages: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi · Shakhtar Donetsk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0.86
Shakhtar Donetsk2.13
1X2
13% 22% 66%
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Draw Shakhtar Donetsk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDWDDLLLDW
Shakhtar Donetsk 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWWLWDWD
Head-to-head
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk (2 last)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk5-0Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
  • Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0-1Shakhtar Donetsk
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 1477 · Shakhtar Donetsk 1587
Epitsentr Kamianets-PodilskyiDrawShakhtar Donetsk
Our model13%21%66%
Market13%22%65%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shakhtar Donetsk (rating 1477 vs 1587).
  • H2H favours Shakhtar Donetsk: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Epitsentr Kamianets-PodilskyiShakhtar Donetsk
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.32.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.93.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 002 Shakhtar Donetsk

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/12/25
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Shakhtar Donetsk5-0
HT 2-0
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
03/08/25
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0-1
HT 0-0
Shakhtar Donetsk

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 1100 513
2 Karpaty Lviv 1100 413
3 Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 1100 303
4 FC Zorya Lugansk 1100 203
5 Polissya Zhytomyr 1100 213
6 FC Kharkiv 1100 103
7 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1010 001
7 LNZ Lebedyn 1010 001
9 Dynamo Kiev 0000 000
9 FC Livyi Bereh 0000 000
11 Chernomorets Odessa 1001 120
12 FC Veres Rivne 1001 010
13 Kolos Kovalivka 1001 020
14 FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1001 140
15 Obolon Kyiv 1001 030
16 FC Kudrivka 1001 150

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEpitsentr Kamianets-PodilskyiShakhtar Donetsk
Obolon Kyiv 3-0 W 3-1 W
HNK Gorica 0-1 L 2-0 W
SC Poltava 0-0 D 4-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shakhtar Donetsk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi

DDWDDLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Obolon Kyiv
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 3-0 61 W
20/07 Alula SC
World Club Friendlies
0-0 0-0 53 D
17/07 Zalaegerszegi TE
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 101 L
16/07 HNK Gorica
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 73 L
13/07 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-3 95 L
23/05 SC Poltava
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 0-0 62 D
16/05 FC Kharkiv
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-1 1-1 80 D
12/05 Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 3-2 31 W
09/05 Obolon Kyiv
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
1-0 2-2 37 D
02/05 FC Veres Rivne
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
2-0 3-3 27 D

Shakhtar Donetsk

WLWWWLWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Bursaspor
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 31 D
23/07 HNK Gorica
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 84 W
21/07 Slaven Belupo
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-2 81 D
19/07 NK Rudes
Europe Friendlies
1-0 5-0 74 W
21/05 Kolos Kovalivka
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 0-1 10 L
17/05 FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
2-0 3-2 00 W
13/05 Obolon Kyiv
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
2-1 3-1 34 W
10/05 SC Poltava
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
1-0 4-0 92 W
07/05 Crystal Palace
UEFA Conference League
1-1 1-2 51 L
03/05 Dynamo Kiev
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-1 2-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shakhtar Donetsk win (66%). Probabilities: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 13%, draw 22%, Shakhtar Donetsk 66%.

How many goals are expected in Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 0.86 · Shakhtar Donetsk 2.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.