Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 09/08, 12:00
Prediction: FC Zorya Lugansk vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Team pages: FC Zorya Lugansk · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
FC Zorya Lugansk1.96
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1.45
1X2
FC Zorya Lugansk
Draw
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Zorya Lugansk
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Zorya Lugansk
0–1–5
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
(6 last)
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih3-1FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk2-3FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih3-0FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk0-1FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2-2FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk1-3FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Zorya Lugansk 1487 · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1518
| FC Zorya Lugansk | Draw | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Zorya Lugansk | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zorya Lugansk 0–1–5 FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 3-1 HT 3-1 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 18/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
| 20/04/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 20/10/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
| 09/12/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2-2 HT 2-1 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 06/08/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | LNZ Lebedyn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Livyi Bereh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Veres Rivne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Kudrivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Zorya Lugansk | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
|---|---|---|
| Karpaty Lviv | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| PFC Oleksandria | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Zorya Lugansk (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Zorya Lugansk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | Goztepe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Grimsby Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | Konyaspor Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/07 | Slovacko Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | HNK Gorica Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | Shkendija Tetovo Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/07 | Lommel Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
4-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/04 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Zorya Lugansk vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Zorya Lugansk win (48%). Probabilities: FC Zorya Lugansk 48%, draw 25%, FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 27%.
How many goals are expected in FC Zorya Lugansk vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih?
The model expects 3.41 goals (FC Zorya Lugansk 1.96 · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1.45), with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Zorya Lugansk vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.