Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: FC Kharkiv vs FC Veres Rivne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

FC Kharkiv1.76

FC Veres Rivne0.85

1X2

58% 26% 17%

FC Kharkiv Draw FC Veres Rivne

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kharkiv 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLDLDLL

FC Veres Rivne 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLDDLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Kharkiv 2–4 FC Veres Rivne (6 last)

FC Veres Rivne0-1FC Kharkiv
FC Veres Rivne0-4FC Kharkiv
FC Kharkiv0-4FC Veres Rivne
FC Kharkiv1-2FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne4-3FC Kharkiv
FC Kharkiv0-1FC Veres Rivne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kharkiv 1482 · FC Veres Rivne 1431

	FC Kharkiv	Draw	FC Veres Rivne
Our model	58%	25%	17%
Market	58%	26%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kharkiv (rating 1482 vs 1431).
H2H favours FC Veres Rivne: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kharkiv	FC Veres Rivne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.57▲	Bet365 1.57
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 4.21 ★
2	6.25 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:40 +22’	1.50	3.60	6.25
15:03 +4’	1.57▲	3.50▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:06 +1’	1.59	4.01	4.97
16:08 +1’	1.52▼	4.21▲	5.47▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kharkiv 2–0–4 FC Veres Rivne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Kharkiv
15/04/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	0-4 HT 0-1	FC Kharkiv
22/08/24 Ukraine Cup	FC Kharkiv	0-4 HT 0-2	FC Veres Rivne
25/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kharkiv	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Veres Rivne
25/11/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	4-3 HT 2-1	FC Kharkiv
08/07/23 Club Friendly List	FC Kharkiv	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Veres Rivne

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chernomorets Odessa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dynamo Kiev	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Karpaty Lviv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Kharkiv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Livyi Bereh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Obolon Kyiv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Zorya Lugansk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Kudrivka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kolos Kovalivka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LNZ Lebedyn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Veres Rivne	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Kharkiv

DWWLLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Schalke Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
21/07	Fagiano Okayama Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
16/07	Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-3	3	4	D
15/07	FK Jablonec Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
10/07	Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies	2-2	3-3	4	4	D
09/07	FC Salzburg Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-4	7	0	L
05/07	Young Boys Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
01/07	FK Qarabag Europe Friendlies	3-0	6-2	6	1	W
24/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	10	11	W
16/05	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-1	4	0	D

FC Veres Rivne

WLWLDDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	Bukovyna Chernivtsi Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-3	5	4	L
24/05	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	5	11	L
17/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
12/05	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
09/05	FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
02/05	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	3-3	8	7	D
27/04	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
20/04	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-0	3-0	0	8	W
15/04	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-4	6	2	L
11/04	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kharkiv vs FC Veres Rivne?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kharkiv win (58%). Probabilities: FC Kharkiv 58%, draw 26%, FC Veres Rivne 17%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kharkiv vs FC Veres Rivne?

The model expects 2.61 goals (FC Kharkiv 1.76 · FC Veres Rivne 0.85), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kharkiv vs FC Veres Rivne?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.