Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Zorya Lugansk
Team pages: Polissya Zhytomyr · FC Zorya Lugansk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Polissya Zhytomyr1.77
FC Zorya Lugansk0.87
1X2
Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw
FC Zorya Lugansk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Polissya Zhytomyr
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Zorya Lugansk
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polissya Zhytomyr
3–3–0
FC Zorya Lugansk
(6 last)
- FC Zorya Lugansk0-0Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr2-0FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk0-1Polissya Zhytomyr
- Polissya Zhytomyr1-1FC Zorya Lugansk
- Polissya Zhytomyr1-1FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk0-1Polissya Zhytomyr
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polissya Zhytomyr 1544 · FC Zorya Lugansk 1459
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | FC Zorya Lugansk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polissya Zhytomyr (rating 1544 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Polissya Zhytomyr: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polissya Zhytomyr | FC Zorya Lugansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polissya Zhytomyr 3–3–0 FC Zorya Lugansk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 30/11/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 17/05/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 25/11/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 05/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 28/10/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Polissya Zhytomyr |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Kharkiv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Obolon Kyiv | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Kudrivka | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | FC Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | FC Veres Rivne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | LNZ Lebedyn | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polissya Zhytomyr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | FC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | FC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/07 | Viktoria Plzen Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Shimizu S-Pulse World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 09/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Worgl SV Europe Friendlies |
5-0 | 11-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Sabah Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
FC Zorya Lugansk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | Goztepe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Grimsby Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | Konyaspor Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/07 | Slovacko Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | HNK Gorica Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | Shkendija Tetovo Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Zorya Lugansk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Polissya Zhytomyr win (58%). Probabilities: Polissya Zhytomyr 58%, draw 25%, FC Zorya Lugansk 18%.
How many goals are expected in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Zorya Lugansk?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Polissya Zhytomyr 1.77 · FC Zorya Lugansk 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Zorya Lugansk?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.