Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 16/08, 12:00
Prediction: LNZ Lebedyn vs Chernomorets Odessa
Team pages: LNZ Lebedyn · Chernomorets Odessa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
LNZ Lebedyn1.58
Chernomorets Odessa0.57
1X2
LNZ Lebedyn
Draw
Chernomorets Odessa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
LNZ Lebedyn
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Chernomorets Odessa
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LNZ Lebedyn
1–2–2
Chernomorets Odessa
(5 last)
- Chernomorets Odessa1-0LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn1-1Chernomorets Odessa
- Chernomorets Odessa1-3LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn0-2Chernomorets Odessa
- Chernomorets Odessa0-0LNZ Lebedyn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LNZ Lebedyn 1526 · Chernomorets Odessa 1544
| LNZ Lebedyn | Draw | Chernomorets Odessa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 27% | 12% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chernomorets Odessa: 2-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LNZ Lebedyn | Chernomorets Odessa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LNZ Lebedyn 1–2–2 Chernomorets Odessa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Chernomorets Odessa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 28/09/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chernomorets Odessa |
| 03/12/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Chernomorets Odessa | 1-3 HT 0-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 30/07/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chernomorets Odessa |
| 08/07/23 Club Friendly List | Chernomorets Odessa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Kharkiv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Livyi Bereh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Kudrivka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Veres Rivne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Obolon Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | LNZ Lebedyn | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/07 | Gent UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Gent UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/07 | Goztepe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | MTK Budapest Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | FC Koper Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | SK Sturm Graz Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Hajduk Split Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
Chernomorets Odessa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LNZ Lebedyn vs Chernomorets Odessa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LNZ Lebedyn win (62%). Probabilities: LNZ Lebedyn 62%, draw 25%, Chernomorets Odessa 13%.
How many goals are expected in LNZ Lebedyn vs Chernomorets Odessa?
The model expects 2.15 goals (LNZ Lebedyn 1.58 · Chernomorets Odessa 0.57), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in LNZ Lebedyn vs Chernomorets Odessa?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.