Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Team pages: Karpaty Lviv · Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Karpaty Lviv1.54
Bukovyna Chernivtsi0.78
1X2
Karpaty Lviv
Draw
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Karpaty Lviv
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Karpaty Lviv
5–1
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
(6 last)
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi1-0Karpaty Lviv
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi0-1Karpaty Lviv
- Karpaty Lviv2-1Bukovyna Chernivtsi
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi1-2Karpaty Lviv
- Karpaty Lviv4-0Bukovyna Chernivtsi
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi1-2Karpaty Lviv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karpaty Lviv 1534 · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1564
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Karpaty Lviv: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Karpaty Lviv | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.6 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karpaty Lviv 5–0–1 Bukovyna Chernivtsi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/25 Ukraine Cup | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 08/10/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 06/08/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | Karpaty Lviv | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi |
| 30/10/22 Ukraine Persha Liga | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 11/09/22 Ukraine Persha Liga | Karpaty Lviv | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi |
| 11/09/21 Ukraine Druha Liga | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Karpaty Lviv |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Kharkiv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Livyi Bereh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Kudrivka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Obolon Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | LNZ Lebedyn | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Veres Rivne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Karpaty Lviv | Bukovyna Chernivtsi |
|---|---|---|
| LNZ Lebedyn | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Veres Rivne | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Karpaty Lviv (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karpaty Lviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Zeljeznicar Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | NK Bravo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/07 | CFR Cluj Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 03/08 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | FC Veres Rivne Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/06 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Karpaty Lviv win (55%). Probabilities: Karpaty Lviv 55%, draw 27%, Bukovyna Chernivtsi 18%.
How many goals are expected in Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Karpaty Lviv 1.54 · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.78), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.