Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Livyi Bereh
Team pages: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih · FC Livyi Bereh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1.78
FC Livyi Bereh1.43
1X2
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Draw
FC Livyi Bereh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FC Livyi Bereh
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
3–0
FC Livyi Bereh
(3 last)
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih4-0FC Livyi Bereh
- FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih4-0FC Livyi Bereh
- FC Livyi Bereh0-1FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1496 · FC Livyi Bereh 1556
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | Draw | FC Livyi Bereh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Livyi Bereh (rating 1496 vs 1556).
- H2H favours FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | FC Livyi Bereh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.6 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 3–0–0 FC Livyi Bereh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FC Livyi Bereh |
| 15/03/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FC Livyi Bereh |
| 15/09/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Livyi Bereh | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Kharkiv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Livyi Bereh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Kudrivka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Obolon Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | LNZ Lebedyn | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Veres Rivne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/07 | Lommel Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
4-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
FC Livyi Bereh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Obolon Kyiv Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | FC Kudrivka Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/06 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 01/06 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
4-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 08/05 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Livyi Bereh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih win (44%). Probabilities: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 44%, draw 27%, FC Livyi Bereh 29%.
How many goals are expected in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Livyi Bereh?
The model expects 3.2 goals (FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1.78 · FC Livyi Bereh 1.43), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Livyi Bereh?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.