Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 05/09, 12:00

Prediction: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Kolos Kovalivka

Team pages: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih · Kolos Kovalivka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1.18

Kolos Kovalivka1.36

1X2

31% 29% 40%

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Draw Kolos Kovalivka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDLWDL

Kolos Kovalivka 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 2–2–2 Kolos Kovalivka (6 last)

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1-1Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka2-1FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih0-1Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka1-1FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1-0Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka0-3FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1493 · Kolos Kovalivka 1524

	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	Draw	Kolos Kovalivka
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	31%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	Kolos Kovalivka
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.3	1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.09 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +4’	2.90	3.10	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +1’	3.05	3.05	2.37
19:28 +6’	3.09▲	3.07▲	2.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 2–2–2 Kolos Kovalivka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	1-1 HT 1-0	Kolos Kovalivka
01/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Kolos Kovalivka	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
11/05/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	0-1 HT 0-1	Kolos Kovalivka
09/11/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Kolos Kovalivka	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
16/03/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	1-0 HT 0-0	Kolos Kovalivka
03/09/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Kolos Kovalivka	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Karpaty Lviv	4	3	1	0	11	2	10
2	Polissya Zhytomyr	4	3	0	1	8	4	9
3	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	3	0	1	8	3	9
4	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	4	2	1	1	6	2	7
5	FC Kharkiv	4	2	0	2	5	4	6
6	Dynamo Kiev	3	2	0	1	4	5	6
7	FC Zorya Lugansk	4	2	0	2	5	7	6
8	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	4	1	2	1	3	3	5
9	Chernomorets Odessa	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
10	LNZ Lebedyn	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
11	FC Veres Rivne	4	1	1	2	2	3	4
12	FC Livyi Bereh	4	0	4	0	2	2	4
13	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
14	Obolon Kyiv	4	0	3	1	0	3	3
15	FC Kudrivka	4	0	2	2	1	8	2
16	Kolos Kovalivka	3	0	1	2	1	4	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	Kolos Kovalivka
FC Zorya Lugansk	3-1 W	0-2 L
PFC Oleksandria	1-1 D	3-0 W
Shakhtar Donetsk	2-3 L	1-0 W
SC Poltava	3-3 D	2-0 W
Dynamo Kiev	5-6 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kolos Kovalivka (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

LDWWLDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
15/08	FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	3-1	4	2	W
01/08	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
23/05	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
17/05	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	2-3	1	0	L
12/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-1	0	2	W
08/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
01/05	SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-3	3-3	8	4	D
26/04	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	4-1	5-6	1	3	L

Kolos Kovalivka

WWWWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
16/08	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-2	1	7	L
31/07	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
21/05	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
17/05	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
13/05	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
08/05	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
02/05	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
24/04	SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
18/04	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	0	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Kolos Kovalivka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kolos Kovalivka win (40%). Probabilities: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 31%, draw 29%, Kolos Kovalivka 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Kolos Kovalivka?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1.18 · Kolos Kovalivka 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs Kolos Kovalivka?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.