Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 06/09, 14:30

Prediction: FC Veres Rivne vs FC Zorya Lugansk

Team pages: FC Veres Rivne · FC Zorya Lugansk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

FC Veres Rivne0.93

FC Zorya Lugansk1.35

1X2

26% 28% 46%

FC Veres Rivne Draw FC Zorya Lugansk

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Veres Rivne 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLLDW

FC Zorya Lugansk 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWLWL

Head-to-head

FC Veres Rivne 2–3–1 FC Zorya Lugansk (6 last)

FC Zorya Lugansk2-0FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne0-0FC Zorya Lugansk
FC Zorya Lugansk1-2FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne2-1FC Zorya Lugansk
FC Zorya Lugansk1-1FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne2-2FC Zorya Lugansk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Veres Rivne 1454 · FC Zorya Lugansk 1501

	FC Veres Rivne	Draw	FC Zorya Lugansk
Our model	25%	30%	45%
Market	26%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Zorya Lugansk (rating 1454 vs 1501).
H2H favours FC Veres Rivne: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Veres Rivne	FC Zorya Lugansk
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 4.01 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.53
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:30 +4’	3.40	3.40	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +2’	4.01	3.53	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Veres Rivne 2–3–1 FC Zorya Lugansk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Zorya Lugansk	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Veres Rivne
24/10/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Zorya Lugansk
13/04/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Zorya Lugansk	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Veres Rivne
05/10/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Zorya Lugansk
13/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Zorya Lugansk	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Veres Rivne
05/11/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	2-2 HT 1-1	FC Zorya Lugansk

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Karpaty Lviv	4	3	1	0	11	2	10
2	Polissya Zhytomyr	4	3	0	1	8	4	9
3	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	3	0	1	8	3	9
4	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	4	2	1	1	6	2	7
5	FC Kharkiv	4	2	0	2	5	4	6
6	Dynamo Kiev	3	2	0	1	4	5	6
7	FC Zorya Lugansk	4	2	0	2	5	7	6
8	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	4	1	2	1	3	3	5
9	Chernomorets Odessa	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
10	LNZ Lebedyn	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
11	FC Veres Rivne	4	1	1	2	2	3	4
12	FC Livyi Bereh	4	0	4	0	2	2	4
13	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
14	Obolon Kyiv	4	0	3	1	0	3	3
15	FC Kudrivka	4	0	2	2	1	8	2
16	Kolos Kovalivka	3	0	1	2	1	4	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Veres Rivne	FC Zorya Lugansk
FC Kharkiv	0-1 L	0-3 L
Karpaty Lviv	0-2 L	2-1 W
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	1-3 L	1-3 L
FC Rukh Lviv	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Zorya Lugansk (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Veres Rivne

LDDLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
14/08	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
09/08	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
01/08	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
24/05	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	5	11	L
17/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
12/05	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
09/05	FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
02/05	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	3-3	8	7	D
27/04	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-2	3	2	L

FC Zorya Lugansk

WWDWDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
17/08	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
09/08	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-3	5	2	L
31/07	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
23/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	2-1	3	9	W
18/05	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/05	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
09/05	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
04/05	FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
27/04	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Veres Rivne vs FC Zorya Lugansk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Zorya Lugansk win (46%). Probabilities: FC Veres Rivne 26%, draw 28%, FC Zorya Lugansk 46%.

How many goals are expected in FC Veres Rivne vs FC Zorya Lugansk?

The model expects 2.28 goals (FC Veres Rivne 0.93 · FC Zorya Lugansk 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Veres Rivne vs FC Zorya Lugansk?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.