Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: LNZ Lebedyn vs Obolon Kyiv
Team pages: LNZ Lebedyn · Obolon Kyiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
LNZ Lebedyn1.43
Obolon Kyiv0.39
1X2
LNZ Lebedyn
Draw
Obolon Kyiv
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
1-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
LNZ Lebedyn
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Obolon Kyiv
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LNZ Lebedyn
3–1–2
Obolon Kyiv
(6 last)
- Obolon Kyiv0-1LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn3-0Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv0-0LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn0-1Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv1-0LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn3-0Obolon Kyiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LNZ Lebedyn 1509 · Obolon Kyiv 1451
| LNZ Lebedyn | Draw | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 28% | 9% |
| Market | 66% | 22% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LNZ Lebedyn (rating 1509 vs 1451).
- H2H favours LNZ Lebedyn: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LNZ Lebedyn | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LNZ Lebedyn 3–1–2 Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 0-1 HT 0-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 06/12/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 10/05/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 09/11/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 04/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 29/10/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Karpaty Lviv | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Veres Rivne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | LNZ Lebedyn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Livyi Bereh | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Odessa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Obolon Kyiv | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | FC Kudrivka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LNZ Lebedyn | Obolon Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Kudrivka | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Obolon Kyiv (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/08 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-5 | 0-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LNZ Lebedyn vs Obolon Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LNZ Lebedyn win (64%). Probabilities: LNZ Lebedyn 64%, draw 25%, Obolon Kyiv 11%.
How many goals are expected in LNZ Lebedyn vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model expects 1.81 goals (LNZ Lebedyn 1.43 · Obolon Kyiv 0.39), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in LNZ Lebedyn vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.