Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 11/09, 14:30
Prediction: Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv
Team pages: Kolos Kovalivka · Karpaty Lviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Kolos Kovalivka0.91
Karpaty Lviv1.2
1X2
Kolos Kovalivka
Draw
Karpaty Lviv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Kolos Kovalivka
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Karpaty Lviv
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kolos Kovalivka
4–1–1
Karpaty Lviv
(6 last)
- Karpaty Lviv0-1Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka1-1Karpaty Lviv
- Kolos Kovalivka2-1Karpaty Lviv
- Karpaty Lviv1-0Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka2-1Karpaty Lviv
- Karpaty Lviv1-2Kolos Kovalivka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kolos Kovalivka 1527 · Karpaty Lviv 1536
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Karpaty Lviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 32% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kolos Kovalivka: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kolos Kovalivka | Karpaty Lviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.9 | 3.2 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolos Kovalivka 4–1–1 Karpaty Lviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Karpaty Lviv | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 16/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 17/05/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 22/11/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Karpaty Lviv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 29/02/20 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 28/09/19 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Karpaty Lviv | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Kolos Kovalivka |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Karpaty Lviv | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Veres Rivne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | LNZ Lebedyn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Livyi Bereh | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Odessa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Obolon Kyiv | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | FC Kudrivka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kolos Kovalivka | Karpaty Lviv |
|---|---|---|
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Karpaty Lviv (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kolos Kovalivka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Karpaty Lviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Karpaty Lviv win (43%). Probabilities: Kolos Kovalivka 28%, draw 30%, Karpaty Lviv 43%.
How many goals are expected in Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Kolos Kovalivka 0.91 · Karpaty Lviv 1.2), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.