Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 31/07, 17:00
Prediction: FC Zorya Lugansk vs Kolos Kovalivka
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
FC Zorya Lugansk1.1
Kolos Kovalivka1.02
1X2
FC Zorya Lugansk
Draw
Kolos Kovalivka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Zorya Lugansk
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Kolos Kovalivka
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Zorya Lugansk
1–1–4
Kolos Kovalivka
(6 last)
- Kolos Kovalivka1-1FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk1-3Kolos Kovalivka
- FC Zorya Lugansk0-3Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka1-0FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk0-1Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka0-1FC Zorya Lugansk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Zorya Lugansk 1475 · Kolos Kovalivka 1553
| FC Zorya Lugansk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 31% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kolos Kovalivka (rating 1475 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Kolos Kovalivka: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Zorya Lugansk | Kolos Kovalivka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 1.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zorya Lugansk 1–1–4 Kolos Kovalivka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 14/09/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 30/03/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 23/09/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 25/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 09/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Odessa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Kharkiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Livyi Bereh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Obolon Kyiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Kudrivka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LNZ Lebedyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Veres Rivne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Zorya Lugansk | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Oleksandria | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Kharkiv | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kolos Kovalivka (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Zorya Lugansk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Goztepe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Grimsby Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | Konyaspor Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/07 | Slovacko Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | HNK Gorica Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/06 | Shkendija Tetovo Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
Kolos Kovalivka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 10/04 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/03 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Zorya Lugansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Zorya Lugansk win (36%). Probabilities: FC Zorya Lugansk 36%, draw 32%, Kolos Kovalivka 32%.
How many goals are expected in FC Zorya Lugansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
The model expects 2.12 goals (FC Zorya Lugansk 1.1 · Kolos Kovalivka 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Zorya Lugansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.