Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 20/09, 14:00
Prediction: Hibernian (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)
Team pages: Hibernian (W) · Montrose LFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.2Total
Hibernian (W)3.1
Montrose LFC (W)1.1
1X2
Hibernian (W)
Draw
Montrose LFC (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Hibernian (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Montrose LFC (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hibernian (W)
5–1–0
Montrose LFC (W)
(6 last)
- Montrose LFC (W)1-1Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)5-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)0-2Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)5-1Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)0-8Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)4-1Montrose LFC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hibernian (W) 1576 · Montrose LFC (W) 1494
| Hibernian (W) | Draw | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 94% | 5% | 1% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hibernian (W) (rating 1576 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Hibernian (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hibernian (W) | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian (W) 5–1–0 Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hibernian (W) |
| 14/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 16/02/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-2 | Hibernian (W) |
| 06/10/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 5-1 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 05/11/23 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-8 HT 0-4 | Hibernian (W) |
| 20/08/23 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 4-1 | Montrose LFC (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Rangers (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 4 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hibernian (W) | Montrose LFC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Motherwell (W) | 7-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Hearts (W) | 2-0 W | 0-7 L |
| Rangers (W) | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hibernian (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hibernian (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-7 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hibernian (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Hibernian (W) 86%, draw 9%, Montrose LFC (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model expects 4.2 goals (Hibernian (W) 3.1 · Montrose LFC (W) 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Hibernian (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.