Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 18/09, 20:30
Prediction: Celtic (W) vs Motherwell (W)
Team pages: Celtic (W) · Motherwell (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.1Total
Celtic (W)3.05
Motherwell (W)1.05
1X2
Celtic (W)
Draw
Motherwell (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Celtic (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Motherwell (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Celtic (W)
6–0
Motherwell (W)
(6 last)
- Motherwell (W)0-2Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)7-1Motherwell (W)
- Celtic (W)6-0Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-1Celtic (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-4Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)5-1Motherwell (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Celtic (W) 1556 · Motherwell (W) 1526
| Celtic (W) | Draw | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 89% | 8% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.1 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Celtic (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Celtic (W) | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 56/11/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic (W) 6–0–0 Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Celtic (W) |
| 12/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 7-1 HT 3-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 18/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 20/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Celtic (W) |
| 03/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Celtic (W) |
| 21/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Motherwell (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Rangers (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 4 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Celtic (W) | Motherwell (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Hibernian (W) | 2-0 W | 0-7 L |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Rangers (W) | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Hearts (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celtic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celtic (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Celtic (W) 83%, draw 11%, Motherwell (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Celtic (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model expects 4.1 goals (Celtic (W) 3.05 · Motherwell (W) 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Celtic (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.