Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 18/10, 14:00
Prediction: Aberdeen (W) vs Celtic (W)
Team pages: Aberdeen (W) · Celtic (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Aberdeen (W)0.69
Celtic (W)2.69
1X2
Aberdeen (W)
Draw
Celtic (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Aberdeen (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Celtic (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aberdeen (W)
0–6
Celtic (W)
(6 last)
- Celtic (W)4-0Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)2-4Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)8-0Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)0-4Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)13-0Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)0-4Celtic (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aberdeen (W) 1387 · Celtic (W) 1574
| Aberdeen (W) | Draw | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 3% | 7% | 90% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (W) (rating 1387 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Celtic (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen (W) | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen (W) 0–0–6 Celtic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 14/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Celtic (W) |
| 15/01/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 8-0 HT 5-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 25/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Celtic (W) |
| 26/11/23 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 13-0 HT 6-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 17/09/23 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Celtic (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 7 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 6 |
| 9 | Aberdeen (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose LFC (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aberdeen (W) | Celtic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Hibernian (W) | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Rangers (W) | 1-3 L | 2-5 L |
| Spartans (W) | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Glasgow City (W) | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Hearts (W) | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 8 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
Celtic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen (W) vs Celtic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Celtic (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Aberdeen (W) 4%, draw 11%, Celtic (W) 85%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Aberdeen (W) 0.69 · Celtic (W) 2.69), with a 60% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.